Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Syracuse

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Orange for their Tuesday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Jan 14, 2025; Syracuse, New York, USA; Syracuse Orange center Eddie Lampkin Jr. (44) challenge each other on the base line Louisville Cardinals guard J'Vonne Hadley (1) in the second half at the JMA Wireless Dome. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images | Mark Konezny-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (20-9, 9-7 ACC) is set to face Syracuse (15-14, 6-10 ACC) on Tuesday, Mar. 3 at 9:00 p.m. EST from the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Orange:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Syracuse	Louisville
AP/USAT	RV/RV	RV/RV
SOS	70th	39th
SOR	81st	29th
NET	79th	17th
WAB	77th	26th
RPI	94th	26th
BPI	72nd	11th
KenPom	77th	19th
Torvik	70th	19th
EvanMiya	73rd	18th

Team Leaders

	Syracuse	Louisville
Points	Donnie Freeman (16.7)	Mikel Brown Jr. (18.9)
Rebounds	William Kyle III (7.5)	Sananda Fru (6.4)
Assists	Naithan George (5.3)	Mikel Brown Jr. (4.8)
Steals	Naithan George (1.4)	Mikel Brown Jr. (1.2)
Blocks	William Kyle III (2.6)	Sananda Fru (1.4)

Scoring

	Syracuse	Louisville
Points Per Game	75.6	86.4
Field Goal %	46.9	47.0
FGM/FGA Per Game	27.5/58.6	29.0/61.7
Three Point %	33.0	36.1
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	7.0/21.2	11.9/32.9
Free Throw %	63.4	77.8
FTM/FTA Per Game	13.6/21.5	16.5/21.2

Rebounding

	Syracuse	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	34.8	39.5
Off. Reb. Per Game	10.5	11.8
Def. Reb. Per Game	24.3	27.7
Rebound Margin	-2.1	6.1

Defense

	Syracuse	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	73.4	72.0
Opp. FG%	43.6	41.6
Opp. 3PT%	33.6	32.4
Steals Per Game	6.5	7.2
Blocks Per Game	6.2	3.4
Turnovers Forced Per Game	12.4	12.2

Ball Handling

	Syracuse	Louisville
Assists Per Game	12.9	17.5
Turnovers Per Game	11.2	11.9
Turnover Margin	1.2	0.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.15	1.46

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 92.2 percent chance to win against the Orange. Louisville has a BPI rating of 19.6 (11th overall), whereas Syracuse has a BPI rating of 8.0 (72nd overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 90 percent chance to take down the Orange, with a projected final score of 86-72 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +25.91 (19th overall), whereas Syracuse has an adjusted efficiency margin of +10.72 (77th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 89 percent chance to take down the Orange, with a projected final score of 87-73 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9356 (19th overall), whereas Syracuse has a "Barthag" of .7713 (70th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 89, Syracuse 76.

(Photo of J'Vonne Hadley: Mark Konezny - Imagn Images)

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