Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. NC State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack for their Monday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Feb 12, 2025; Raleigh, North Carolina, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard J'Vonne Hadley (1) dribbles with the ball guarded by North Carolina State Wolfpack guard Bryce Heard (7) during the second half of the game at Lenovo Center. Mandatory Credit: Jaylynn Nash-Imagn Images | Jaylynn Nash-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (17-6, 7-4 ACC) is set to face NC State (18-6, 9-2 ACC) on Monday, Feb. 9 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	NC State	Louisville
AP/USAT	RV/RV	24th/23rd
SOS	19th	41st
SOR	33rd	30th
NET	27th	17th
RPI	34th	29th
BPI	26th	11th
KenPom	24th	19th
Torvik	24th	19th
EvanMiya	22nd	24th

Team Leaders

	NC State	Louisville
Points	Darrion Williams (14.7)	Ryan Conwell (18.4)
Rebounds	Ven-Allen Lubin (7.0)	Sananda Fru (6.6)
Assists	Quadir Copeland (7.0)	Mikel Brown Jr. (5.3)
Steals	Quadir Copeland (1.9)	Ryan Conwell (1.3)
Blocks	Ven-Allen Lubin (0.8)	Sananda Fru (1.4)

Scoring

	NC State	Louisville
Points Per Game	85.7	85.7
Field Goal %	48.1	46.4
FGM/FGA Per Game	29.2/60.7	28.8/62.0
Three Point %	40.2	34.5%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	11.0/27.3	11.5/33.4
Free Throw %	75.6	76.4
FTM/FTA Per Game	16.3/21.5	16.7/21.8

Rebounding

	NC State	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	35.7	40.3
Off. Reb. Per Game	9.6	12.2
Def. Reb. Per Game	26.0	28.1
Rebound Margin	1.0	6.2

Defense

	NC State	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	72.5	70.7
Opp. FG%	42.9	40.4
Opp. 3PT%	34.0	33.7
Steals Per Game	8.6	7.1
Blocks Per Game	3.1	3.3
Turnovers Forced Per Game	13.8	12.4

Ball Handling

	NC State	Louisville
Assists Per Game	16.8	17.7
Turnovers Per Game	9.6	11.5
Turnover Margin	4.2	0.9
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.74	1.54

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 75.8 percent chance to win against the Wolfpack. Louisville has a BPI rating of 19.6 (11th overall), whereas NC State has a BPI rating of 16.0 (26th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 66 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 84-79 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +25.04 (19th overall), whereas NC State has an adjusted efficiency margin of +23.39 (24th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 70 percent chance to take down the Pack, with a projected final score of 83-78 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9357 (19th overall), whereas NC State has a "Barthag" of .9207 (24th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 84, NC State 81.

(Photo of J'Vonne Hadley: Jaylynn Nash - Imagn Images)

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