Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Notre Dame

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Fighting iIrish for their Wednesday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Feb 16, 2025; South Bend, Indiana, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard J'Vonne Hadley (1) drives to the basket as Notre Dame Fighting Irish guard Markus Burton (3) and forward Kebba Njie (14) defend in the second half at the Purcell Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: Matt Cashore-Imagn Images | Matt Cashore-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (15-6, 5-4 ACC) is set to face Notre Dame (11-11, 2-7 ACC) on Wednesday, Feb. 4 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Fighting Irish:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Notre Dame	Louisville
AP/USAT	NR/NR	20th/20th
SOS	48th	36th
SOR	90th	32nd
NET	85th	17th
RPI	81st	29th
BPI	80th	11th
KenPom	84th	16th
Torvik	90th	16th
EvanMiya	92nd	23rd

Team Leaders

	Notre Dame	Louisville
Points	Markus Burton (18.5)	Ryan Conwell (19.1)
Rebounds	Carson Towt (9.5)	Sananda Fru (6.7)
Assists	Markus Burton (3.7)	Mikel Brown Jr. (5.0)
Steals	Markus Burton (1.6)	Ryan Conwell (1.4)
Blocks	Brady Koehler (0.6)	Sananda Fru (1.3)

Scoring

	Notre Dame	Louisville
Points Per Game	74.0	86.1
Field Goal %	45.0	46.3
FGM/FGA Per Game	25.9/57.6	28.9/62.4
Three Point %	35.2	34.8
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.4/23.9	11.8/33.9
Free Throw %	69.9	76.5
FTM/FTA Per Game	13.7/19.6	16.5/21.5

Rebounding

	Notre Dame	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	37.1	40.4
Off. Reb. Per Game	11.2	12.3
Def. Reb. Per Game	26.0	28.1
Rebound Margin	4.9	6.2

Defense

	Notre Dame	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	72.2	70.5
Opp. FG%	43.2	40.4
Opp. 3PT%	31.8	33.5
Steals Per Game	4.3	7.3
Blocks Per Game	2.1	3.3
Turnovers Forced Per Game	9.4	12.8

Ball Handling

	Notre Dame	Louisville
Assists Per Game	12.0	17.6
Turnovers Per Game	11.5	11.5
Turnover Margin	-2.1	1.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.05	1.53

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 92.8 percent chance to win against the Fighting Irish. Louisville has a BPI rating of 19.7 (11th overall), whereas Notre Dame has a BPI rating of 7.6 (80th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 90 percent chance to take down the Fighting Irish, with a projected final score of 83-69 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +25.24 (16th overall), whereas Notre Dame has an adjusted efficiency margin of +9.68 (84th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 92 percent chance to take down the Irish, with a projected final score of 83-68 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9380 (16th overall), whereas Notre Dame has a "Barthag" of .7131 (90th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 85, Notre Dame 65.

(Photo of J'Vonne Hadley: Matt Cashore - Imagn Images)

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