Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Kentucky

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Wildcats for their Tuesday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Louisville forward Kasean Pryor (7) scored his first points since returning from last season’s injury as the Cardinals hosted Jackson State at the KFC Yum! Center on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2025. | Jeff Faughender/Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (2-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Kentucky (2-0, 0-0 SEC) on Tuesday, Nov. 11 at 8:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wildcats:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	UK	UofL
AP/USAT	9th/8th	12th/12th
SOS	248th	319th
SOR	56th	111th
NET	15th	28th
RPI	29th	188th
BPI	9th	3rd
KenPom	1st	11th
Torvik	11th	7th
EvanMiya	8th	9th

Team Leaders

	UK	UofL
Points	Collin Chandler (14.5)	Khani Rooths (18.0)
Rebounds	Malachi Moreno (9.5)	J'Vonne Hadley (9.0)
Assists	Jaland Lowe (5.0)	Mikel Brown Jr. (7.5)
Steals	Four Tied (1.0)	Kobe Rodgers (3.0)
Blocks	Two Tied (1.0)	Sananda Fru (1.0)

Scoring

	UK	UofL
Points Per Game	92.0	105.0
Field Goal %	50.8	52.7
FGM/FGA Per Game	33.0/65.0	34.0/64.5
Three Point %	32.7	33.8
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	9.0/27.5	11.0/32.5
Free Throw %	70.8	76.5
FTM/FTA Per Game	17.0/24.0	26.0/34.0

Rebounding

	UK	UofL
Rebounds Per Game	50.5	48.0
Off. Reb. Per Game	13.0	13.5
Def. Reb. Per Game	37.5	34.5
Rebound Margin	18.5	17.0

Defense

	UK	UofL
Opp. Points Per Game	55.0	57.5
Opp. FG%	29.2	31.7
Opp. 3PT%	20.7	28.3
Steals Per Game	5.0	11.5
Blocks Per Game	4.0	2.5
Turnovers Forced Per Game	10.5	18.5

Ball Handling

	UK	UofL
Assists Per Game	24.0	23.5
Turnovers Per Game	9.5	13.5
Turnover Margin	1.0	5.0
Assist/Turnover Ratio	2.53	1.74

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 73.2 percent chance to win against Kentucky. Louisville has a BPI rating of 21.3 (3rd overall), whereas Kentucky has a BPI rating of 18.3 (9th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 51 percent chance to take down the Wildcats, with a projected final score of 84-83 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +25.25 (11th overall), whereas Kentucky has an adjusted efficiency margin of 29.32 (1st overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 68 percent chance to take down the Wildcats, with a projected final score of 84-79 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9331 (7th overall), whereas Kentucky has a "Barthag" of .9238 (11th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 87, Kentucky 83.

(Photo of Kasean Pryor: Jeff Faughender - Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

You can follow Louisville Cardinals On SI for future coverage by liking us on Facebook, Twitter/X and Instagram:

Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI
Twitter/X - @LouisvilleOnSI
Instagram - @louisvilleonsi

You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter/X and @mattmcgavic.bsky.social on Bluesky