Mississippi State vs. Florida Prediction, Odds for College Basketball on Tuesday, March 3

The No. 5 Florida Gators have a chance to clinch their first SEC regular-season title since 2014 when they host the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Tuesday night.

Florida is 23-6 on the season and 13-1 at home, while Mississippi State is just 13-16 overall and 4-5 on the road. Quite frankly, the Gators blowing this opportunity to clinch the regular-season title would be a huge misstep as they are massive favorites tonight.

The Gators have won nine games in a row, while the Bulldogs have lost three straight and six of their last eight.

Let’s take a look at the odds, players to watch and my prediction for this SEC matchup.

Mississippi State vs. Florida Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread

Mississippi State +22.5 (-112)
Florida -22.5 (-108)

Moneyline

Mississippi State +2000
Florida -6667

Total

160.5 (Over -112/Under -108)

Mississippi State vs. Florida How to Watch

Date: Tuesday, March 3
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Stephen C. O’Connell Center
How to Watch (TV): SEC Network
Mississippi State record: 13-16
Florida record: 23-6

Mississippi State vs. Florida Betting Trends

Mississippi State is 10-19 ATS this season
Florida is 16-13 ATS this season
Mississippi State is 6-8 ATS on the road this season
Florida is 6-8 ATS at home this season
The UNDER is 15-14 in Mississippi State games this season
The UNDER is 17-12 in Florida games this season
The OVER is 10-4 in Mississippi State road games this season
The UNDER is 8-6 in Florida home games this season

Mississippi State vs. Florida Key Players to Watch

Thomas Haugh, Forward, Florida Gators

Thomas Haugh struggled last week in Texas. He had just 5 points on 2 of 6 shooting, and no rebounds or assists in the contest. However, he bounced back from that with a big 22-point performance with 5 rebounds and 2 assists in a 111-77 win over Arkansas on Saturday.

Haugh is now averaging 17.1 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per game on the season.

The junior has taken a big step forward this year, and won’t miss an opportunity to clinch the SEC title.

Mississippi State vs. Florida Prediction and Pick

Normally, I wouldn’t be too confident in Florida covering this big of a spread. However, this isn’t just any other game for the Gators, and Mississippi State has been playing particularly poorly as of late.

The Bulldogs just lost by 24 to Missouri and 25 to Alabama, while Florida is coming off a 34-point win over Arkansas.

I’ll back the Gators to get a blowout win to clinch the SEC title tonight, and would also consider the UNDER as well.

Pick: Florida -22.5 (-108)

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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