Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Ohio

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Bobcats for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Louisville Cardinals guard Mikel Brown Jr. (0) and guard Ryan Conwell (3) celebrated after a score during first half action as the Louisville Cardinals hosted the Kentucky Wildcats at the KFC Yum! Center on Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2025. | Jeff Faughender/Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (3-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Ohio (1-2, 0-0 MAC) on Saturday, Nov. 15 at 12:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Bobcats:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Ohio	UofL
AP/USAT	NR/NR	12th/12th
SOS	48th	202nd
SOR	191st	4th
NET	N/A	N/A
RPI	128th	97th
BPI	151st	4th
KenPom	174th	9th
Torvik	146th	5th
EvanMiya	13th	10th

Team Leaders

	Ohio	UofL
Points	Jackson Paveletzke (18.0)	Mikel Brown Jr. (19.3)
Rebounds	Aidan Hadaway (5.7)	J'Vonne Hadley (8.5)
Assists	Jackson Paveletzke (4.0)	Mikel Brown Jr. (6.7)
Steals	Jackson Paveletzke (1.3)	Kobe Rodgers (2.3)
Blocks	Ayden Evans (1.0)	Sananda Fru (1.3)

Scoring

	Ohio	UofL
Points Per Game	72.3	102.0
Field Goal %	45.6	50.0
FGM/FGA Per Game	27.7/60.7	33.0/66.0
Three Point %	25.9	33.3
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	5.0/19.3	11.7/35.0
Free Throw %	64.3	73.7
FTM/FTA Per Game	12.0/18.7	24.3/33.0

Rebounding

	Ohio	UofL
Rebounds Per Game	29.7	45.3
Off. Reb. Per Game	7.7	13.3
Def. Reb. Per Game	22.0	32.0
Rebound Margin	-9.3	10.6

Defense

	Ohio	UofL
Opp. Points Per Game	82.3	67.7
Opp. FG%	47.2	37.2
Opp. 3PT%	38.7	31.3
Steals Per Game	3.3	11.3
Blocks Per Game	2.3	2.7
Turnovers Forced Per Game	12.7	17.0

Ball Handling

	Ohio	UofL
Assists Per Game	12.0	22.3
Turnovers Per Game	10.7	11.0
Turnover Margin	2.0	6.0
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.12	2.03

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 98.5 percent chance to win against Ohio. Louisville has a BPI rating of 21.2 (4th overall), whereas Ohio has a BPI rating of -0.4 (151st overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 99 percent chance to take down the Bobcats, with a projected final score of 97-72 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +26.31 (9th overall), whereas Ohio has an adjusted efficiency margin of -2.64 (174th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 96 percent chance to take down the Bobcats, with a projected final score of 98-72 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9364 (5th overall), whereas Ohio has a "Barthag" of .5048 (146th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 99, Ohio 68.

(Photo of Mikel Brown Jr., Ryan Conwell: Jeff Faughender - Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

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