Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Arkansas

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Razorbacks for their Wednesday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Nov 24, 2025; Louisville, Kentucky, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard Ryan Conwell (3) reacts during the second half against the Eastern Michigan Eagles at KFC Yum! Center. Louisville defeated Eastern Michigan 87-46. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images | Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (7-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Arkansas (5-2, 0-0 SEC) on Wednesday, Dec. 3 at 7:15 p.m. EST at Bud Walton Arena for the ACC/SEC Challenge. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Razorbacks:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Arkansas	Louisville
AP/USAT	25th/23rd	6th/6th
SOS	165th	282nd
SOR	74th	11th
NET	45th	9th
RPI	45th	44th
BPI	36th	2nd
KenPom	36th	9th
Torvik	24th	7th
EvanMiya	24th	8th

Team Leaders

	Arkansas	Louisville
Points	Meleek Thomas (17.6)	Ryan Conwell (20.1)
Rebounds	Trevon Brazile (7.7)	Sananda Fru (5.9)
Assists	Darius Acuff Jr. (4.4)	Mikel Brown Jr. (6.0)
Steals	D.J. Wagner (1.7)	Two Tied (1.6)
Blocks	Trevon Brazile (1.7)	Sananda Fru (1.1)

Scoring

	Arkansas	Louisville
Points Per Game	88.1	96.7
Field Goal %	48.5	48.1
FGM/FGA	30.3/62.4	31.4/65.3
Three Point %	35.5	37.3
3PTM/3PTA	8.7/24.6	13.3/35.6
Free Throw %	80.0	75.8
FTM/FTA Per Game	18.9/23.6	20.6/27.1

Rebounding

	Arkansas	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	37.9	46.0
Off. Reb. Per Game	10.0	14.3
Def. Reb. Per Game	27.9	31.7
Rebound Margin	2.5	13.0

Defense

	Arkansas	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	71.6	63.0
Opp. FG%	40.0	36.1
Opp. 3PT%	30.6	28.8
Steals Per Game	8.3	9.4
Blocks Per Game	4.9	3.9
Turnovers Forced Per Game	12.0	15.0

Ball Handling

	Arkansas	Louisville
Assists Per Game	17.6	20.7
Turnovers Per Game	9.6	10.6
Turnover Margin	2.4	4.4
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.83	1.95

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 74.5 percent chance to win against the Razorbacks. Louisville has a BPI rating of 22.7 (2nd overall), whereas Arkansas has a BPI rating of 13.2 (36th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 61 percent chance to take down the Razorbacks, with a projected final score of 84-81 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +27.89 (9th overall), whereas Arkansas has an adjusted efficiency margin of +18.40 (36th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 49 percent chance to take down the Hogs, with a projected final score of 83-82 in favor of UA. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9401 (7th overall), whereas Arkansas has a "Barthag" of .8991 (24th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 87, Arkansas 81.

(Photo of Ryan Conwell: Jamie Rhodes - Imagn Images)

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