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What Seed Will Mizzou be in March Madness? Bubble Watch, Live Updates

Follow along for updates from across the country regarding Missouri's potential seeding in the 2026 NCAA Tournament.
Feb 21, 2026; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Missouri Tigers center Shawn Phillips Jr (15) dunks the ball during the second half against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Bud Walton Arena. Arkansas won 94-86. Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images
Feb 21, 2026; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Missouri Tigers center Shawn Phillips Jr (15) dunks the ball during the second half against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Bud Walton Arena. Arkansas won 94-86. Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images | Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images

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Following Missouri's 78-72 loss to the Kentucky Wildcats in the second round of the SEC Tournament, the seed the Tigers land in the NCAA Tournament is the next thing they await. Before the loss, bracketologists had the Tigers in the field. It's unclear whether that's still the case.

With other bubble teams dropping games as of late in their conference tournaments, such as Stanford, Virginia Tech, Cincinnati and California, the case for Missouri advancing into the postseason safely seems more likely. As of 11:00 a.m. on Thursday, ESPN bracketologist Joe Lunardi had Missouri as one of the teams that are the last four in.

A Missouri win would've made life far easier for Dennis Gates and his squad. Now, the Tigers will have to play a long and anxiety-inducing waiting game.

Follow along below for updates from bubble teams across the country, along with any bracketology updates.

Bracketology updates

Sunday: Mizzou is selected as a 10 seed in the west region to play Miami in St. Louis.

2:15 a.m., Sunday - Take a breath, Mizzou fans

At this point, it feels unlikely that the Tigers will miss out on the 2026 NCAA Tournament. The conversations are more centered around where and who they will play, rather than if they will actually get in.

1:50 p.m., Saturday - Still no changes

The Tigers still seem to be in the field.

2:30 p.m., Friday - Nothing changes for Missouri

There are no changes heading into Friday's slate of conference tournament games. The Tigers are slated to take on VCU in Dayton as of now.

3:30 p.m., Thursday - Missouri remains "Last Four In"

Despite the loss, Lunardi still believes the Tigers are firmly in the tournament field, along with VCU, Texas and SMU.

11:00 a.m., Thursday - Missouri listed as "Last 4 In" by Lunardi

Entering a busy Thursday slate of important bubble games, the Tigers were semi-safely in the tournament field according to Lunardi.

Bubble watch

2:29 p.m., Saturday - Dayton becomes a potential bidstealer

The one thing preventing the Tigers from sneaking into March Madness is bid stealers. Dayton's trying to do exactly that after knocking off Saint Louis with a buzzer-beater in the Atlantic 10 semifinals. This will be a situation that Missouri monitors closely.

1:45 a.m., Saturday - New Mexico loses its March Madness opportunity

San Diego State barely outlasted New Mexico, keeping its March Madness hopes alive. New Mexico is also firmly out of the tournament, as well.

11:28 p.m., Friday - Oklahoma's run may be done

The Sooners will be anxiously waiting until Selection Sunday. They may be the first team out of the tournament, though they racked up some good wins toward the end of the season and in the SEC Tournament.

6:55 p.m., Friday - Seton Hall misses its window

The Pirates are firmly out of the field after losing to St. John's. This removes a potential bid stealer and a bubble team that could've jumped the Tigers.

6:32 p.m., Friday - VCU survives and advances

The Rams keep winning games in the Atlantic 10 Tournament, this time against Duquesne in 71-66 fashion. As of now, Lunardi still has the rams in the tournament.

Friday games to watch:

VCU vs. Duquesne, 4 p.m. - Atlantic 10 quarterfinal
Seton Hall vs. St. John’s, 4:30 p.m. - Big East semifinal
Oklahoma vs. Arkansas, 8:30 p.m. - SEC quarterfinal
New Mexico vs. San Diego State, 10:59 p.m. - Mountain West semifinal

12:58 a.m., Friday - New Mexico advances

The Lobos also advanced and will now play San Diego State in the semifinal. This will be a big determining matchup for the bubble and possibly a bid-stealing league.

11:03 p.m., Thursday - Oklahoma blows out Texas A&M

The Sooners stayed hot and beat Texas A&M 83-63, catching many off guard. Oklahoma is knocking on the door of earning a tournament bid, but they'll likely need more wins in the SEC tournament or a significant amount of losses on the bubble.

10:37 p.m., Thursday - San Diego State knocks off Colorado State

The Aztecs are on the outside looking in, but more wins in the Mountain West might help them lock down a spot. Winning the Mountain West may be their best shot.

4:40 p.m., Thursday - Auburn falls to Tennessee

The Volunteers seemingly took care of business against Auburn, which likely will knock them out of NCAA Tournament contention. Recent updates from Lunardi have Auburn out.

4:30 p.m., Thursday - UCF blown out by Arizona

Arizona destroying UCF wasn't much of a surprise to anyone. It still happened however, and the Golden Knights are still firmly in the field. They're likely safe for making March Madness.

3:42 p.m., Thursday - Seton Hall defeats Creighton

Seton Hall is on the outside looking in, but a run in the Big East tournament could help its case a lot. The Pirates are now one step closer to the title game, but they could pick up some big wins on the way to it.

1:54 p.m., Thursday - Missouri falls to Kentucky

Missouri's loss will send ripples across the rest of the bubble. Though it seems like the Tigers will still be in the tournament, their future is no longer in their hands.

1:21 p.m., Thursday - NC State falls to Virginia in ACC Tournament

Lunardi had the Wolfpack in the last four byes category before their loss to Virginia in the quarterfinal of the ACC Tournament. This shouldn't affect them too much, especially with the quality of opponent they lost to.

Joe Lunardi's Last 4 Byes

NC State
UCF
Santa Clara
Miami OH

Joe Lunardi's Last 4 In

Missouri
VCU
Texas
SMU

Joe Lunardi's First 4 Out

Oklahoma
Auburn
New Mexico
San Diego State

Joe Lunardi's Next 4 Out

Indiana
Stanford
Cincinnati
Seton Hall

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Published | Modified
Michael Stamps
MICHAEL STAMPS

Michael Stamps is attending the University of Missouri pursuing a degree in journalism. He joined Missouri Tigers On SI as a recruiting writer in 2023, but his beats have subsequently included football and basketball, plus recruiting. Michael is from Papillion, Neb.

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