Could We See Some Lupton Magic Against Some Familiar Foes in a Regional?

D1Baseball's projection for this week is for TCU to host a regional as the No. 13 national seed, with Oklahoma, UTSA, and Kent State coming to Cowtown.
The sun sets during game one of the NCAA College World Series finals between Tennessee and Texas A&M at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha, Neb., on Saturday, June 22, 2024.
The sun sets during game one of the NCAA College World Series finals between Tennessee and Texas A&M at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha, Neb., on Saturday, June 22, 2024. / Brianna Paciorka/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK

We've reached the last weekend of the regular season. Conference tournaments begin next week. We are less than two weeks away from Selection Monday, when 64 teams will learn their postseason destination.

With this week's "Field of 64" projections from D1 Baseball, the TCU Horned Frogs (35-16, 17-10), who failed to make the tournament last year, are projected to be the No. 13 national seed, which has them hosting a Regional at Lupton Stadium.

Currently, the Frogs are in a two-way tie for third place in the Big 12. West Virginia is in the top spot, with Arizona State in second. TCU is tied with Arizona and Kansas. However, to TCU's advantage, its RPI is up to No. 14, which is why TCU is a potential Regional host while KU and ASU are projected to have to hit the road.

What Teams Are Projected to Make the College Baseball Postseason Tournament?

Each week as the postseason approaches, D1Baseball.com, one of the leading sources of college baseball information, scores, and more, updates its projections for the postseason tournament.

Seven of the 14 teams in the Big 12 are projected to make the field this week, the same number as last week: Arizona, Arizona State, Cincinnati, Kansas, Kansas State, TCU, and West Virginia. As of this week, TCU and West Virginia are projected to host a Regional.

Six other teams TCU has played in nonconference play are also projected to make the field: Arkansas, DBU, San Diego, Southern Miss, UTRGV, and UTSA. Michigan, another TCU nonconference opponent, is in the first four out and not projected to make the field.

Projected Schools in the NCAA Baseball Tournament

Big 12 Schools:

  • Arizona - Projected No. 3 seed in the Los Angeles Regional (UCLA).
  • Arizona State - Projected No. 3 seed in the Tuscaloosa Regional (Alabama)
  • Cincinnati - Projected No. 3 seed in the Conway Regional (Coastal Carolina)
  • Kansas - Projected No. 2 seed in the Fayetteville Regional (Arkansas). Big 12 teams have won the past two Regionals played in Fayetteville.
  • Kansas State - Projected No. 3 seed in the Eugene Regional (Oregon)
  • TCU - Projected No. 13 national seed, which would have them hosting a Regional in Fort Worth. Their potential Super Regional would be in Tallahassee against No. 4 Florida State.
  • West Virginia - Projected No. 16 national seed, which would have them hosting a Regional in Morgantown. Their potential Super Regional would be in Austin against No. 1 Texas.


TCU Non-Conference Opponents

  • Arkansas - No. 3 national seed and hosting a Regional in Fayetteville
  • Dallas Baptist – Projected No. 2 seed in the Austin Regional (Texas)
  • Michigan - One of the First Four Out and not projected to make the field
  • San Diego - Projected No. 4 seed in the Los Angeles Regional (UCLA)
  • Southern Miss - Projected No. 2 seed in the Tuscaloosa Regional (Alabama)
  • UTRGV - One of the Last Four In and projected No. 3 seed in the Austin Regional (Texas)
  • UTSA - Projected No. 2 seed in the Fort Worth Regional (TCU)

Projected Fort Worth Regional

  1. TCU (35-16) - (At-large bid)
  2. UTSA (39-11) - (Automatic qualifier as winner of the American Athletic Conference)
  3. Oklahoma (32-17) - (At-large bid)
  4. Kent State (35-15) - (Automatic qualifier as winner of the Mid-American Conference)

Regional Tournament Hosts: The Top 16

  1. Austin Regional (Texas)
  2. Baton Rouge Regional (LSU)
  3. Fayetteville Regional (Arkansas)
  4. Tallahassee Regional (Florida State)
  5. Nashville Regional (Vanderbilt)
  6. Athens Regional (Georgia)
  7. Auburn Regional (Auburn)
  8. Chapel Hill Regional (North Carolina)
  9. Eugene Regional (Oregon)
  10. Conway Regional (Coastal Carolina)
  11. Los Angeles Regional (UCLA)
  12. Corvallis Regional (Oregon State)
  13. Fort Worth Regional (TCU)
  14. Tuscaloosa Regional (Alabama)
  15. Raleigh Regional (North Carolina State)
  16. Morgantown Regional (West Virginia)

College World Series Brackets

Assuming every host team wins their Regional (they won’t). The bottom eight regional hosts all go on the road to play the Super Regional at the top eight teams, and assuming the top eight national seeds all win the Supers (they won’t), here’s how the brackets would be in Omaha:

Bracket One

• (1) Texas
• (4) FSU
• (5) Vanderbilt
• (8) North Carolina

Bracket Two

• (2) LSU
• (3) Arkansas
• (6) Georgia
• (7) Auburn

Follow KillerFrogs on X to stay up to date on all postseason baseball news.

Selection Monday is on May 26. Regional rounds begin Friday, June 30. Super Regionals begin June 6. The College World Series begins on Friday, June 13. The three game Finals Series begins Saturday, June 21.

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Barry Lewis
BARRY LEWIS

Barry is the managing editor/publisher of TCU Horned Frogs On SI and oversees a team of 15+ writers, photographers, and podcasters covering all 22 of TCU’s sports. He writes on football, basketball (men’s and women’s), baseball, men’s tennis, and other sports as needed. His weekly articles include Big 12 Power Rankings and Poll Watching during the football, basketball, and baseball seasons. He is a frequent guest on one of the many podcasts that TCU Horned Frogs On SI writers host covering football, baseball, basketball, and other sports. Barry is a member of the Football Writers Association of America (FWAA), U.S. Basketball Writers Association (USBWA), and National Collegiate Baseball Writers Association (NCBWA). He has represented TCU Horned Frogs On SI at the 2022 Fiesta Bowl, the 2023 College Football National Championship, the 2023 College World Series, the 2024 NCAA Men’s Tennis National Championship, Big 12 Football Media Days, and Big 12 Basketball Media Days. Barry has followed TCU sports since the Jim Wacker days. He is an avid sports fan and traveler, and he loves any opportunity to see a sporting event in person. He has been to 18 of the 30 MLB ballparks, experienced game day at 25 college football stadiums, seen 21 NFL stadiums, and been to 16 bowl games.