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College Football Week 1 Overreactions We Kind Of Believe

With just one datapoint on the 2023 college football season, it's prime overreaction time. But are all overreactions unwarranted?
College Football Week 1 Overreactions We Kind Of Believe
College Football Week 1 Overreactions We Kind Of Believe

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The mantra to College Football Week 2 is: "Your team is neither as good or as bad as they looked in Week 1." But regardless, fans exist to react and overreact to what they saw on the field because we simply don't have any more datapoints. From Colorado rostering multiple Heisman candidates to the roof collapsing on the Big 12 Conference, let's take a look at some overreactions that might just hold some water.

Colorado's Offense Is Great

Two things can be, and likely are, true – TCU was ill-prepared and out-played defensively, and Colorado's offense is packed with talent. The Buffs dropped 45 on TCU thanks to superhuman efforts from Shadeur Sanders, Travis Hunter, and Dylan Edwards. Offensive coordinator Sean Lewis worked around an overmatched offensive line and attacked the perimeter successfully.

With teams like Nebraska on tap, why would Lewis and Colorado change a thing?

Teams on Colorado's schedule are going to play tougher defense than TCU. As more tape releases, opponents should be better prepared for the speed and goal of the Buffs' offense. But Hunter is likely the best player on any given field, and Sanders appears able to play football at a high level.

So, no, Colorado in Week 1 wasn't a fluke.  And yes, they're going to score loads of points all season long.

Panic Time For The Big 12

Luck runs out. Last year, TCU managed to go 6-0 in one-score games during the regular season, and they're starting this year 0-1. 27.5-point favorite Baylor was completely dominated defensively and especially along their offensive line. Texas Tech started fast but petered out and allowed 20 straight points to Wyoming en route to an overtime loss.

While the Pac-12 starts off the season 13-0, the Big 12 dropped three games in which the conference team was favored by 14.5, 20.5, and 27.5 points.

Ouch.

The Bears' defense, which ranked outside the top 100 last season, appears to be a problem once again. Texas State's offense runs fast, was unfamiliar, and clearly improved, but the loss was downright embarrassing for Dave Aranda's crew. All three of these teams expected to be contenders not just in the league, but nationally this year, and all three started off extremely poorly.

And many of those mistakes weren't flukey.

2012 Alabama Is Back

Turns out, the days of the Crimson Tide needing a star quarterback are over. It was widely reported this offseason that Alabama would revert back to their 2010s days of excelling in the run game behind monstrous offensive lines and winning with elite defense.

All the pieces are there, and QB Jalen Milroe has enough juice in his legs to get the job done. He won't be passing for 4,500 yards, but the Tide don't need him to – they have three backs that would contend for all-conference honors almost anywhere else. Their defense (in particular, their secondary) is truly elite, with multiple NFL Draft picks on the field at once.

While the nation considered writing Alabama off, Nick Saban & Co. are attacking 2023 with a chip on their shoulder, and it might just work.

Ohio State Isn't A National Contender

For many teams, a 20-point win over a divisional opponent constitutes a successful Saturday afternoon. But for Ohio State, a 23-3 Week 1 win at Indiana raised more concerns than answers.

Kyle McCord looked pedestrian and lacked the pop recent star QBs had with the Buckeyes. Their receiving corps – which includes at least four NFL Draft choices and top-five prospect Marvin Harrison Jr. – was a total non-factor. The offensive line got little push, and Ohio State resorted to clock control and chunk plays to win.

Defensively, they were fine; great, almost. But the playcalling decisions – particularly on offense – were beyond abysmal. Against a lowly opponent like Indiana, Ohio State should have rolled.

But this team just doesn't feel the same as in the past. And with Notre Dame on the slate, plus Penn State and Michigan both ascending, this just isn't the year for the Buckeyes.


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Brett Gibbons
BRETT GIBBONS

Brett is the ultimate college football traveler, currently en route to experience a game day at every FBS stadium. He is a former Division I recruiter at Bowling Green and Texas State, and his writing background includes analyzing NCAA betting markets. Also a high school football coach, Brett lives and dies by the gridiron. Follow along on all socials: @ roadtocfb.

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