Texas Tech's College Football Playoff odds revealed
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With just over a month until the 2025 college football season begins, early playoff predictions and odds are rolling in. On Monday, On3's Brett McMurphy revealed the latest College Football Playoff odds for the Big 12 teams via Circa Sports — and Texas Tech is near the top at +450, highlighting the lofty expectations in Lubbock.
Odds for Big 12 teams to make College Football Playoff via @CircaSports
— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) July 21, 2025
Kansas State +400
Texas Tech +450
Utah +450
Arizona State +475
Baylor +600
Iowa State +825
TCU +900
Kansas +1200
BYU +1300
Not all league teams listed
Much of that optimism centers around a dramatically upgraded roster, especially on defense. Texas Tech struggled mightily on that side of the ball in 2024, surrendering over 460 yards and 34 points per game. Head Coach Joey McGuire knows that isn't a winning formula, which is why he responded aggressively in the transfer portal. He brought in standout defenders like David Bailey, Romello Height, Lee Hunter, and Skyler Gill-Howard in an effort to solidify the defensive front and apply pressure to the opposing QBs. Those additions were impactful enough for PFF to rank Texas Tech's defense among the Top 10 nationally entering 2025.
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Offensively, the Red Raiders also made some significant additions. They added key pieces to the offensive line, added dynamic USC transfer RB Quinten Joyner, and welcomed back former five-star WR Micah Hudson.
With the upgrades to the offense and defense, along with a relatively favorable schedule, Texas Tech suddenly looks like a serious threat to win the Big 12 title. If everything clicks, this could be the year that Texas Tech not only captures its first Big 12 championship but also punches its ticket to the College Football Playoff.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Christopher Breiler launched Winged Helmet Media and began covering the Michigan Football program in an unofficial capacity in 2017. He then joined Wolverine Digest as part of the FanNation network in 2021 as a contributing writer, where he served as both a writer and a photographer on game days. In 2024, he took over as the Managing Editor for Michigan Wolverines On SI. In January of 2025, he took over as Publisher for Maryland On SI. His love for Michigan Football brought him into the industry, and his passion for being a content creator has led to some amazing experiences along the way.
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