Wisconsin Badgers losing ground in ESPN's way-too-early 2025-26 bracketology

The latest bracketology update from ESPN has the Wisconsin Badgers dropping to a lower seed while playing in a tough region.
Wisconsin Badgers head coach Greg Gard looks to the referee after a timeout Thursday, March 13, 2025, during the second round of the men's Big Ten tournament at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Wisconsin Badgers defeated the Northwestern Wildcats, 70-63.
Wisconsin Badgers head coach Greg Gard looks to the referee after a timeout Thursday, March 13, 2025, during the second round of the men's Big Ten tournament at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Wisconsin Badgers defeated the Northwestern Wildcats, 70-63. | Grace Hollars/IndyStar / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

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The Wisconsin Badgers exceeded expectations last season when John Tonje led the team to the Big Ten Championship Game and a No. 3 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

ESPN Bracketologist Joe Lunardi doesn't see them repeating quite the same success.

He updated his way-too-early predictions for March Madness in 2026, and he dropped the Badgers down to a No. 7 seed in the Midwest region.

ESPN bracket midwest region
ESPN

They would play No. 10 seed Ole Miss in the first round, and if they advance, they would play the winner of No. 2 seed UConn against No. 15 Siena of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference.

In the same region, Lunardi has rival Illinois as a No. 4 seed.

Wisconsin's postseason push will fall on the shoulders of John Blackwell taking over the lead scoring role, along with a group of key transfers with a lot of potential to open up the offense.

Greg Gard has had a knack for maximizing the talent on his roster and over-performing based on preseason expectations.

His roster will be a little overlooked again this season, and he is in a good position to surprise some people again in 2026.

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Lorin Cox
LORIN COX

Lorin Cox is the managing editor of Wisconsin Badgers on SI. He has been covering Badgers sports since 2014, when he was an undergraduate at the University of Wisconsin. He previously wrote for the Wisconsin State Journal, NBC Sports Chicago and USA Today Sports Media Group, and he is a former analyst for Pro Football Focus.