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Oregon vs. Washington picks, predictions: Week 7 college football pick 'em

Expert predictions for Oregon vs. Washington by the college football analytic model that picks game winners
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Sixteen of the last 21 in this series have gone to the Ducks, although the Huskies will look to make it two straight this weekend as No. 7 Washington welcomes No. 8 Oregon in college football's Week 7 action on Saturday.

The winner of this one moves into the driver's seat not only in the Pac-12 football championship picture, but in College Football Playoff contention. The league hasn't sent a semifinalist to the final four since Washington in 2016.

Rankings: AP | Coaches | ESPN

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Oregon vs. Washington picks, predictions

Oregon Ducks quarterback Bo Nix attempts a pass during a college football game.

Oregon vs. Washington game picks

Oregon comes out ahead in the early computer simulations, defeating Washington in 54.9 percent of the projections, or 10,980 of the 20,000 predictions the computer uses to pick game winners.

Conversely, that leaves Washington as the projected winner in the remaining 45.1 percent of sims, or 9,020 of the predictions.

Washington is the 2.5 point favorite against Oregon, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 67.5 points for the game.

Oregon sits at No. 5 on the index's 133 team rankings this week, up 5 spots in the computer polls, projected to be 24.0 points better than an average opponent, and estimated to win 11.2 games this season.

Washington stayed put at No. 9 on the FPI polls, estimated to be 20.3 points better than opponents, and forecasted to win 10.4 games on the year.

Oregon has a 47.7 percent chance to win the Pac-12 title, compared to Washington at 25.8 percent, 1st and 2nd, respectively, according to the computer models.

Related: ESPN top 25 college football rankings for Week 7

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

College football rankings

First-place votes in parentheses

  1. Georgia (50)
  2. Michigan (11)
  3. Ohio State (1)
  4. Florida State (1)
  5. Oklahoma
  6. Penn State
  7. Washington
  8. Oregon
  9. Texas
  10. USC
  11. Alabama
  12. North Carolina
  13. Ole Miss
  14. Louisville
  15. Oregon State
  16. Utah
  17. Duke
  18. UCLA
  19. Washington State
  20. Tennessee
  21. Notre Dame
  22. LSU
  23. Kansas
  24. Kentucky
  25. Miami

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

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