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College football rankings: ESPN updates FPI top 25 poll for Week 4

A look at the updated Top 25 college football rankings according to the FPI analytic prediction model moving into Week 4
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This week saw a shakeup in the polls after an eventful Saturday of football that saw two ranked teams go down and other highly-touted marquee names struggling against conference opponents — Florida State at BC and Georgia at home against South Carolina — while Alabama's dynasty looks to be in retreat after a sloppy win against lowly USF. Now it's time to get a look at the updated ESPN top 25 college football rankings heading into an action-packed Week 4.

  • The Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team's future performance
  • Rankings and predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team's season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team's schedule
  • Teams are ranked not strictly in order of talent, but by a projected point margin against an average team on a neutral field

ESPN top 25 college football rankings

Florida Gators running back Montrell Johnson, Jr. carries the ball during a college football game in the SEC.

A look at the top 25 college football rankings

25. Florida

Rankings change: Up 4
Florida predictions: 6.9 wins, 5.2 losses
What's next: vs. Charlotte

24. Tennessee

Rankings change: Down 2
Tennessee predictions: 7.5 wins, 4.5 losses
What's next: vs. UTSA

23. North Carolina

Rankings change: Up 3
North Carolina predictions: 9.0 wins, 3.2 losses
What's next: at Pittsburgh

22. Kansas State

Rankings change: Down 1
Kansas State predictions: 8.0 wins, 4.2 losses
What's next: vs. UCF

21. UCF

Rankings change: Up 2
UCF predictions: 8.8 wins, 3.3 losses
What's next: at Kansas State

20. Oregon State

Rankings change: Down 3
Oregon State predictions: 8.5 wins, 3.6 losses
What's next: at Washington State

19. Utah

Rankings change: Down 3
Utah predictions: 8.4 wins, 3.8 losses
What's next: vs. UCLA

18. Texas A&M

Rankings change: Up 1
Texas A&M predictions: 7.3 wins, 4.7 losses
What's next: vs. Auburn

17. Clemson

Rankings change: Up 3
Clemson predictions: 7.5 wins, 4.6 losses
What's next: vs. Florida State

16. Syracuse

Rankings change: Up 2
Syracuse predictions: 9.6 wins, 2.7 losses
What's next: vs. Army

15. Miami

Rankings change: None
Miami predictions: 9.7 wins, 2.6 losses
What's next: at Temple

14. Michigan

Rankings change: Down 4
Michigan predictions: 9.5 wins, 2.6 losses
What's next: vs. Rutgers

13. Ole Miss

Rankings change: Down 1
Ole Miss predictions: 9.3 wins, 2.9 losses
What's next: at Alabama

12. Notre Dame

Rankings change: Down 3
Notre Dame predictions: 9.6 wins, 2.4 losses
What's next: vs. Ohio State

11. Washington

Rankings change: Up 3
Washington predictions: 9.8 wins, 2.6 losses
What's next: vs. Cal

10. Florida State

Rankings change: Down 5
Florida State predictions: 10.5 wins, 2.2 losses
What's next: at Clemson

9. LSU

Rankings change: Up 4
LSU predictions: 8.9 wins, 3.4 losses
What's next: vs. Arkansas

8. Oregon

Rankings change: Up 3
Oregon predictions: 10.3 wins, 2.2 losses
What's next: vs. Colorado

7. Texas

Rankings change: Down 1
Texas predictions: 10.7 wins, 1.9 losses
What's next: at Baylor

6. Penn State

Rankings change: Up 1
Penn State predictions: 10.5 wins, 1.7 losses
What's next: vs. Iowa

5. USC

Rankings change: Down 1
USC predictions: 10.3 wins, 2.4 losses
What's next: at Arizona State

4. Alabama

Rankings change: Down 4
Alabama predictions: 9.4 wins, 3.0 losses
What's next: vs. Ole Miss

3. Georgia

Rankings change: None
Georgia predictions: 11.3 wins, 1.6 losses
What's next: vs. UAB

2. Oklahoma

Rankings change: Up 6
Oklahoma predictions: 11.4 wins, 1.3 losses
What's next: at Cincinnati

1. Ohio State

Rankings change: Up 1
Ohio State predictions: 11.3 wins, 1.3 losses
What's next: at Notre Dame


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