Aaron Judge Likely to Sign Nine-Year Contract in Free Agency

This MLB insider reports that it's going to take a nine-year offer to sign Aaron Judge in free agency.

Teams interested in signing Aaron Judge in free agency this offseason will need to be ready to commit to the slugger through his age-39 season. 

It's "increasingly likely" that Judge will land a nine-year contract this winter, per Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic.

In other words, the Yankees will need to make a decision regarding how many years they are willing to offer Judge. New York has already presented the superstar with an eight-year contract worth approximately $300 million, per Jeff Passan of ESPN. Earlier this year, before Opening Day, Judge declined a seven-year extension worth $213.5 million from New York.

In order for Judge's contract to set a new record for average annual value among position players, the outfielder will need to make more than $35.5 million per year. That's the record-setting AAV connected to Mike Trout and his contract with the Angels.

That in mind, the Yankees will find themselves in familiar territory, negotiating what could be a nine-year contract. Gerrit Cole's deal with New York includes a salary of $36 million per year, totaling $324 million over nine seasons. 

The Yankees aren't the only team involved in the Judge sweepstakes, though. Judge recently visited with the Giants, his hometown team. Rosenthal noted that the Dodgers are interested in Judge on a "short-term, high-dollar deal" while other mystery clubs are also lurking on the open market. 

Judge is going to sign a lucrative deal this winter. That we know for certain. The 30-year-old is coming off one of the best single seasons in baseball history, a campaign in which the outfielder won his first Most Valuable Player Award and crushed 62 home runs, setting the new American League record.

Giving any player nine guaranteed seasons comes with plenty of risks. As much as Judge has silenced concerns about his durability in recent years, can he continue to stay on the field and produce at a high level for the rest of his 30's? 

Judge needs to think about whether he would leave the Yankees in order to secure one additional year in free agency (if New York sticks with their current offer). Perhaps the Giants blow Judge's camp away and offer a ninth year. Would that be the decisive factor in this process?

Then again, would the Yankees really risk losing their leader and the face of the franchise over one final year when they've already demonstrated a willingness to spend $300 million dollars for Judge? If a ninth season is the difference, and owner Hal Steinbrenner truly wants to retain Judge, you have to figure New York will take that step.

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Max Goodman
MAX GOODMAN

Max Goodman covers the New York Yankees for Sports Illustrated and FanNation. Goodman has been on the Yankees beat for three seasons. He is also the publisher of Sports Illustrated and FanNation's Jets site, Jets Country. Before starting Inside The Pinstripes, Goodman attended Northwestern University and the Medill School of Journalism. He earned his Bachelor’s Degree in Broadcast Journalism and Master’s Degree in Sports Media, graduating in 2019. At school, Goodman was an anchor and reporter with NNN SportsNight and played on the club baseball team. While at Northwestern, Goodman interned with MLB.com as an associate reporter covering the Miami Marlins. He also interned with ESPN, working as an associate reporter on Mike Greenberg's Get Up. Goodman is from New York City. He grew up in Hell's Kitchen. Follow Goodman on Twitter @MaxTGoodman. You can connect with him via email by reaching out at maxgoodmansports@gmail.com.