Resilient Razorbacks on Brink of NCAA Tournament Bid After Downing State

FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. — Saturday was as close to a win-and-in game as Bud Walton Arena has seen in a long time, and the Arkansas Razorbacks took care of business in dramatic fashion with a 93-92 victory over Mississippi State.
A 16-point second-half lead was not enough as the Bulldogs battled back and even led themselves in the final minute before a Jonas Aidoo free throw with 11 seconds remaining, a Billy Richmond block and a last-second attempt that rolled off to give Arkansas its fourth win in five games to close the regular season.
The journey continues pic.twitter.com/N4hYps13vH
— Arkansas Razorbacks Men’s Basketball 🐗 (@RazorbackMBB) March 8, 2025
"Heck of a basketball game," Calipari said. "Glad we won it. Love how we fought. I've done this a long time and this may be the most rewarding season for me because they're a bunch of good kids that struggled early in their own individual way, and then collectively we struggled early.
"Yes, because they were good people, they stuck together. Our staff never blamed, just kept working with them."
Arkansas was an afterthought in the NCAA Tournament picture after a dreadful January where the Hogs got off to a program-worst 0-5 start to SEC play and finished the month 1-6 before flipping the switch with an inspired effort in John Calipari's return to Rupp Arena.
Since that time, the Hogs have climbed from the basement in the SEC to a ninth-place finish in the league standings with a 19-12 (8-10 SEC) end to the regular season.
Yeah that's worth a rewatch pic.twitter.com/Kou82ddPh9
— Arkansas Razorbacks Men’s Basketball 🐗 (@RazorbackMBB) March 8, 2025
Is this where Arkansas expected to be? Of course not, but given the early stumbles and injuries to leading scorers Boogie Fland and Adou Thiero, Razorback fans should be plenty pleased with their team all but locking up an NCAA Tournament bid with Saturday's win whether Calipari is ready to admit it or not.
"You never — the committee will make a decision, so you get out ahead of yourself," he said. "We've just got to keep trying to get better."
Prior to Saturday's win, Arkansas appeared in the "Last 4 Byes" according to ESPN Bracketologist Joe Lunardi, meaning the Hogs were in position to avoid a trip to the First Four in Dayton, but not completely off the bubble.
According to the Bracket Matrix, a compilation and average seeding of all reputable bracketologists, the Razorbacks were included in 102 of 103 updated brackets as of Friday evening.
FINAL: Arkansas 93, Miss State 92
— Aaron Torres (@Aaron_Torres) March 8, 2025
Hogs win a thriller, and have won 7 of 11 since February 1 (three losses to Top 10 teams).
Think today's win should punch their ticket to the Dance - and they are OFFICIALLY a team you dont want in your bracket
Its also got me thinking...🤔🐗 pic.twitter.com/WwQOiGWTbF
The Razorbacks will most likely be much closer to the 8-10 lines on the bracket than out of the field when things update after the weekend thanks to another Top 25 win, the potential for the Georgia win to move up to Quad 1 after its win over Vanderbilt and some positive early returns elsewhere around the bubble.
If there were any remaining doubt at all about Arkansas' March Madness prospects, they would be eliminated with a win over last-place South Carolina on Wednesday at the SEC Tournament.
Easier said than done after last weekend's debacle in Columbia, but it is hard not to like Arkansas' chances much more in a rematch the Hogs should be highly motivated for.
"My first though is, I'm not even watching (the South Carolina tape) and I may not, because I can see their last few games and have an idea and then I'll tell my staff, 'You guys watch it,'" Calipari joked.
"Give me what I need to know because I am not going through that again."