Three key matchups for Florida State's cross country clash with Stanford

The Seminoles will have a long flight and a long wait to play once they get there.
Oct 11, 2025; Tallahassee, Florida, USA; Florida State Seminoles head coach Mike Norvell after losing the game to the Pittsburgh Panthers at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-Imagn Images
Oct 11, 2025; Tallahassee, Florida, USA; Florida State Seminoles head coach Mike Norvell after losing the game to the Pittsburgh Panthers at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-Imagn Images | Melina Myers-Imagn Images

Have the wheels fallen off, or is history repeating itself?

In 2022, the Florida State Seminoles got off to a 4-0 start, but then proceeded to drop three ACC games in a row.

In 2025, the 'Noles got out to a 3-0 start, including a dominant 31-17 victory over the Alabama Crimson Tide, but have lost three straight, including two in a row at home.

Now, FSU must direct its attention toward the Stanford Cardinal, who come in at 2-4 and 1-2 in conference play through six games.

The Seminoles are nearly three-score favorite son the road in Palo Alto, California.

READ MORE: Ex-Florida State WR stuns fans with one of the greatest catches ever

Many fans will be making the trek to the Golden State to see their Seminoles play the Stanford Cardinal. If you’re looking for the pivotal matchups – the game within the game on Saturday – NoleGameday has you covered.

1. Florida State vs. The Start Time

Mike Norvell
Aug 30, 2025; Tallahassee, Florida, USA; Florida State Seminoles head coach Mike Norvell arrives before the game against the Alabama Crimson Tide at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-Imagn Images | Melina Myers-Imagn Images

For those who don't know, Florida State squares off against Stanford at 10:30 ET in California on Saturday.

All team travel operations function somewhat differently, but FSU will likely fly out in the early afternoon after morning practice, like always.

For simplicity, let's say they're wheels up from Tallahassee at 2 p.m. ET, and they have a five-hour flight. They land at 3 p.m. local time.

They then have to wait about 28 hours before they play a football game. Players' circadian rhythms will be disrupted, so they likely won't get much sleep. Even if they do get some shut-eye, you'll likely have players waking up at three or four in the morning.

It will feel like an eternity before they take the field for pregame warmups.

These aren't excuses, it is frankly the new reality of college sports with the recent conference realignment.

Head coach Mike Norvell constantly preaches response. With the different factors such as long flights and time changes at hand, it will certainly be interesting to see how the team reacts to the situation, especially after the last three week's results.

2. Florida State Passing Defense vs. Stanford QB Ben Gulbranson

Ben Gulbranson
Sep 27, 2025; Stanford, California, USA; Stanford Cardinal quarterback Ben Gulbranson (15) throws the ball during the first quarter against the San Jose State Spartans at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stan Szeto-Imagn Images | Stan Szeto-Imagn Images

From Miami QB Carson Beck to Pitt true freshman QB Mason Heintschel, FSU has been beaten by the opponent's field general in the last three weeks.

Yes, the defensive line hasn't gotten the desired push up front, but Stanford has a bottom-tier rushing attack in FBS play halfway through the season.

If the Cardinal want a shot at taking down the Seminoles, Stanford QB Ben Gulbranson will need to shine.

FSU's secondary has already shown its vulnerability, whereas Stanford's passing offense is top-60 in the country (240.8 yards/game). Those statistics don't necessarily move the needle, but look for Stanford to take advantage of a secondary that isn't necessarily brimming with confidence.

3. Third and Fourth Downs

FSU defense
Oct 11, 2025; Tallahassee, Florida, USA; Pittsburgh Panthers quarterback Mason Heintschel (6) is tackled in the first quarter against the Florida State Seminoles at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-Imagn Images | Melina Myers-Imagn Images

Stanford's offense is tied for 113th in third-down conversion percentage. FSU's defense is the 42nd-best in allowing third down conversions.

Last week against Pitt, the Panthers were 5-14 on third down. On paper, that doesn't sound too bad. However, Pitt was 3-3 on fourth down (8-17 combined).

Therefore, the Seminoles have to be better on third down in order to avoid fourth-and-short situations. With Stanford being a home underdog, a team more likely to go for it on fourth downs could be dangerous should they be given a multitude of short fourth-down situations.

FSU will need to limit them.


READ MORE: Mike Norvell delivers message to frustrated FSU football fans after 3rd straight loss

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Jackson Bakich
JACKSON BAKICH

Born in Orlando but raised in Lake County, Florida, Jackson Bakich is currently a senior at Florida State University. Growing up in the Sunshine State, Bakich co-hosted the political talk radio show "Lake County Roundtable" (WLBE) and was a frequent guest for "Lake County Sports Show" (WQBQ). Currently, he is the Sports Editor of the FSView and host of "Tomahawk Talk" (WVFS), a sports talk radio program covering Florida State athletics in Tallahassee.

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