Indiana Basketball Bracketology: Hoosiers On Bubble Entering Regular Season Finale

Ahead of Saturday's matchup, Indiana and Ohio State were both listed on the NCAA Tournament bubble in Joe Lunardi's most recent Bracketology on ESPN, released Friday morning.
Indiana's bench celebrates during Tuesday's game at Oregon.
Indiana's bench celebrates during Tuesday's game at Oregon. / Photo credit Indiana Athletics
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BLOOMINGTON, Ind. – Indiana has been fighting to make the NCAA Tournament, and its hopes come down to a few crucial games.

On Joe Lunardi's latest ESPN Bracketology released Friday morning, the Hoosiers were listed as one of the last four teams in the tournament field. Indiana was ahead of Boise State and Xavier but behind San Diego State, giving the Hoosiers the slightest bit of room off the cut line.

This projection gives Indiana a No. 11 seed and sets up the Hoosiers against fellow No. 11 seed San Diego State in the First Four round in Dayton, Ohio. That game would be played on March 18 or 19 at UD Arena.

Here's a look at the South region.

Indiana Basketball Bracketology
ESPN's Joe Lunardi gave Indiana a No. 11 seed in his latest Bracketology. / espn.com

With Indiana right on the bubble, Saturday's game against Ohio State is extremely important. The Buckeyes were listed as one of the last four byes by Lunardi, so they're competing against Indiana for a tournament bid.

According to the website Bracketmatrix.com, Indiana is in the NCAA Tournament field in 87 of 92 projections. Indiana is between a No. 10 and a No. 12 seed, with an average seed of 11.11, according to those predictions.

Regardless of Saturday's result, both teams still may need to win a game or two in next week's Big Ten Tournament, depending on the results of other bubble teams and amount of bid stealers from mid-major conferences. The winner of Saturday's game earns the No. 9 seed and plays Thursday in the Big Ten Tournament, while the loser has to play Wednesday as the No. 10 seed.

"These guys have been fighting, fighting and fighting," Indiana coach Mike Woodson said Tuesday Oregon. "We have a break here or there, we wouldn't be having this conversation. We are in the mix of a battle. We got a chance to get to the Big Ten Tournament and anything can happen when you get into tournament play. Right now, we are staring Ohio State in the face and we got to go figure that out."

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  • HOW TO WATCH: Indiana continues the 2024-25 season Saturday against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington. Here's how to watch, game time and TV info, announcers, the point spread and over/under, key stats, rankings and more. CLICK HERE
  • MEET THE OPPONENT: The Buckeyes have won two in a row heading into Saturday’s game at Indiana. Here’s a closer look at the Buckeyes ahead of Saturday’s matchup. CLICK HERE
  • INDIANA TOURNEY SCENARIOS CONVERGE: Hoosiers have a big home game against Ohio State on Saturday that will help determine Indiana's Big Ten and NCAA Tournament fates. CLICK HERE.
  • INDIANA-OREGON GAME STORY: Oregon defeated Indiana 73-64 Tuesday with a 10-0 run to finish the game, sparked by a deep three from Jackson Shelstad. After the game, Mike Woodson ripped the officials for a 21 to seven free throw attempt disparity. CLICK HERE
  • WHAT WOODSON SAID: Here's everything Indiana coach Mike Woodson said after the Hoosiers lost 73-64 to the Oregon Ducks Tuesday at Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene. CLICK HERE

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Jack Ankony
JACK ANKONY

Jack Ankony has been a writer with “Indiana Hoosiers on SI” since 2022. He graduated from Indiana University's Media School with a degree in journalism. Follow Jack on Twitter @ankony_jack