Ryan Aber's Three Bold Predictions for Oklahoma vs. Tennessee

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Oklahoma faces another road test Saturday when the 18th-ranked Sooners take on No. 14 Tennessee at 6:30 p.m. at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville.
Like several other big OU matchups this season, the game features a top-flight offense against the Sooners’ stout defense.
- Tennessee is second nationally in points per game while OU is sixth in points allowed per game.
- The Volunteers are third in first downs per game while OU is third in first downs allowed per game.
- Tennessee is third in passing yards per game while the Sooners are 10th in passing yards allowed per game.
- The Vols are third in total offense per game while OU is sixth in total defense.
So there are plenty of areas of intrigue with this matchup. And there are plenty of areas where unusual things can happen to affect the course of the game.
Here are three bold predictions for the matchup, which will be televised on ABC:
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Oklahoma Scores a Defensive Touchdown
While Tennessee’s offense has been explosive, the Vols have been susceptible to the turnover.
Tennessee quarterback Joey Aguilar has thrown six interceptions, including two against both Georgia and Mississippi State.
The Vols have also lost four fumbles.
Tennessee has yet to surrender a defensive touchdown, though.
The Sooners’ defense is strong and physical up front and while there are questions about safety in particular, the secondary has also held up fairly well.
OU is going to need to come up with game-changing plays defensively in order to pull off a victory and one of the ways to do that is by putting points on the board off turnovers.
The Sooners have the ability to create big-time turnovers, even if that’s been one of the few things missing from the defense this season.
That changes Saturday as Oklahoma puts up its second defensive touchdown of the season and first in SEC play.
Xavier Robinson has Another Career High
Xavier Robinson has come on strong over the last couple of games after a quiet start to his sophomore season.
The Carl Albert product had 11 carries for 58 yards and a touchdown against South Carolina and then had nine carries for a career-high 109 yards and two touchdowns against Ole Miss.
Robinson has proven himself against top-flight competition in his first two seasons with the Sooners and his combination of size, physicality and speed makes him a big asset in SEC play.
OU’s running game isn’t fixed, but it’s at least heading in the right direction and after taking awhile to give Robinson a chance, and abandoning the run during the fourth quarter last week, offensive coordinator Ben Arbuckle has learned his lesson and Robinson will have plenty of chances against the Vols.
Sooners’ Offense Finally Stopped in the Red Zone
While OU’s offense hasn’t been overly powerful this season, especially since John Mateer’s uneven return from thumb surgery, one area where the Sooners have been good is converting red-zone opportunities.
Going into Saturday’s game, Oklahoma is one of only three FBS teams to have converted each of their red-zone trips into points.
The Sooners have scored 19 touchdowns and seven field goals in 26 trips inside the red zone.
Only Eastern Michigan (17 touchdowns, 10 field goals) and Washington State (15 touchdowns, seven field goals) join the Sooners in having a 100 percent score rate in the end zone.
But that streak is very unlikely to last long, and there's a good chance it ends in Knoxville.
In what figures to be a close game, and with a high-powered offense on the other side, they’ll be forced into a situation of needing to go for a touchdown instead of settling for a field goal, and the streak will end.
Ryan Aber has been covering Oklahoma football for more than a decade continuously and since 1999 overall. Ryan was the OU beat writer for The Oklahoman from 2013-2025, covering the transition from Bob Stoops to Lincoln Riley to Brent Venables. He covered OU men's basketball's run to the Final Four in 2016 and numerous national championships for the Sooners' women's gymnastics and softball programs. Prior to taking on the Sooners beat, Ryan covered high schools, the Oklahoma City RedHawks and Oklahoma City Barons for the newspaper from 2006-13. He spent two seasons covering Arkansas football for the Morning News of Northwest Arkansas before returning to his hometown of Oklahoma City. Ryan also worked at the Southwest Times Record in Fort Smith, Arkansas, and the Muskogee Phoenix. At the Phoenix, he covered OU's national championship run in 2000. Ryan is a graduate of Putnam City North High School in Oklahoma City and Northeastern State University in Tahlequah.