USC Fans Will Like Trojans' Updated Bowl Prediction

The No. 19 USC Trojans are bowl eligible heading into rivalry week with an 8-3 record. With the postseason picture taking shape, what is the latest projection for the Trojans after their loss to the Oregon Ducks, and which bowl game is USC now trending toward?
Aug 30, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; Southern California Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley reacts during the game against the Missouri State Bears at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Aug 30, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; Southern California Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley reacts during the game against the Missouri State Bears at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images | Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

The No. 15 USC Trojans aren’t heading to the College Football Playoff after their 42–27 loss to the No. 7 Oregon Ducks, but their postseason isn’t over. With one week left and a bowl berth already secured, the Trojans appear to be tracking toward a high-profile destination: the Valero Alamo Bowl.

USC fans could enjoy the river walk in San Antonio and all the festivities for one of the more-coveted Bowl Games in college football.

According to ESPN’s latest projections, the Trojans are expected to face the No. 11 BYU Cougars in San Antonio, a matchup that would pit USC’s high-powered passing attack against one of the nation’s most balanced and disciplined teams.

Why USC Is Alamo-Bowl Bound

USC Trojans coach Lincoln Riley quarterback Jayden Maiava Makai Lemon BYU Cougars Bear Bachmeier LJ Martin Alamo Bowl
Nov 7, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; Southern California Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley watches game action against the Northwestern Wildcats during the second half at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images | Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

The Trojans enter rivalry week at 8-3 overall and 6-2 in conference play, with Saturday’s Crosstown Rivalry against the UCLA Bruins closing out Trojans coach Lincoln Riley’s second regular season in the Big Ten era. Regardless of how that game unfolds, USC is guaranteed a bowl game appearance and all signs point south.

Under the current bowl agreement (running through 2025), the Alamo Bowl receives the first selection of bowl-eligible teams from the Big 12 and Pac-12, and USC remains eligible despite moving to the Big Ten. The opportunity is notable historically, too. The Trojans have never played in the Alamo Bowl since its launch in 1993.

BYU Is A Dangerous Team

USC Trojans coach Lincoln Riley quarterback Jayden Maiava Makai Lemon BYU Cougars Bear Bachmeier LJ Martin Alamo Bowl
BYU Cougars running back LJ Martin (4) runs the ball as Cincinnati Bearcats cornerback Matthew McDoom (0) defends in the third quarter of the NCAA football game at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati on Nov. 22, 2025. | Albert Cesare/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

If the projection holds, USC will face one of the hottest programs in the country. BYU, now No. 11 in the AP Poll and CFP rankings, is 9-1 and owning one of the most complete defensive profiles in the nation. They also rolled into last year’s Alamo Bowl and dominated the Colorado Buffaloes 36-14, featuring then-Buffs quarterback Shedeur Sanders and Heisman Trophy winner Travis Hunter.

This year’s BYU team looks even tougher. The Cougars are led by true freshman quarterback Bear Bachmeier, who has shown unusually advanced poise for an 18-year-old. Bachmeier has completed 63 percent of his passes for 2,304 yards, 13 touchdowns, and only four interceptions, while adding 525 rushing yards and 11 scores on the ground.

The engine of the offense, however, is running back LJ Martin, who has already rushed for 1,134 yards and eight touchdowns. The Cougars average 201.5 yards per game on the ground, ranking top-26 nationally. And defensively, BYU hasn’t allowed more than 29 points in any game.

MORE: USC Trojans' Interesting Betting Odds Released For Crosstown Rivalry vs. UCLA

MORE: AP Top 25 Poll Prediction Before Rivalry Week

MORE: Oregon Coach Dan Lanning Gives USC Credit After Beating the Trojans 

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Why This Matchup Could Challenge USC

USC Trojans coach Lincoln Riley quarterback Jayden Maiava Makai Lemon BYU Cougars Bear Bachmeier LJ Martin Alamo Bowl
Nov 15, 2025; Provo, Utah, USA; BYU Cougars quarterback Bear Bachmeier (47) warms up before the game against the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rob Gray-Imagn Images | Rob Gray-Imagn Images

Stylistically, the projection creates contrast. USC ranks sixth nationally in passing offense (301 yards per game). BYU ranks among the best rushing attacks in college football.

Where things get tricky: USC’s defense has consistently struggled against the run, allowing nearly 150 rushing yards per game. Against an offense powered by Martin and Bachmeier, that’s a major stress point, particularly after Oregon exposed similar issues last weekend. The Trojans are 2-2 all-time against BYU and have lost their last two matchups (2019, 2021).

USC’s Offensive Firepower Still Makes Them Dangerous

USC Trojans coach Lincoln Riley quarterback Jayden Maiava Makai Lemon BYU Cougars Bear Bachmeier LJ Martin Alamo Bowl
Nov 7, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; Southern California Trojans quarterback Jayden Maiava (14) throws against the Northwestern Wildcats during the second half at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images | Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Despite the Ducks loss, quarterback Jayden Maiava continues to put together the best statistical season of his career. The USC junior has thrown for:

- 3,174 passing yards
- 21 passing touchdowns
- 65.7 percent completion percentage
- Six rushing touchdowns

All are career highs, though his eight interceptions remain a storyline heading into UCLA week.

USC Trojans coach Lincoln Riley quarterback Jayden Maiava Makai Lemon BYU Cougars Bear Bachmeier LJ Martin Alamo Bowl
Nov 22, 2025; Eugene, Oregon, USA; Southern California Trojans wide receiver Makai Lemon (6) runs with the ball during the first half against the Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images | Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images

His top weapon, Biletnikoff Award frontrunner Makai Lemon, is still one of the most explosive receivers in college football. Lemon was held to just 34 yards by Oregon but owns elite season totals:

- 78 receptions
- 1,124 receiving yards
- 10 receiving touchdowns
- 2 rushing touchdowns

He projects as a top 2026 NFL Draft wide receiver and remains one of the toughest matchups in the country for any secondary, even BYU’s disciplined unit.

First, USC must protect its perfect home record against the UCLA Bruins on Saturday. After that, all eyes shift to the final bowl announcement. Nothing is official yet, but the Alamo Bowl feels like USC’s postseason destination, and BYU looks like the most likely opponent.


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Jalon Dixon
JALON DIXON

Jalon Dixon covers the USC Trojans and Maryland Terrapins for On SI, bringing fans the stories behind the scores. From breaking news to in-depth features, he delivers sharp analysis and fresh perspective across football, basketball, and more. With experience covering everything from the NFL to college hoops, Dixon blends insider knowledge with a knack for storytelling that keeps readers coming back.