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College football rankings: Comparing preseason No. 1 teams to national champions

Looking over recent national championship history and seeing how good the AP top 25 rankings are at predicting college football's best team
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Alabama came into the fall as the consensus No. 1 team in the AP top 25 preseason college football rankings, but it didn't finish there.

How important is that No. 1 spot, really? When it comes to winning the national championship, it turns out that being the top dog isn't the most important thing.

Just two teams that started the season No. 1 in the preseason rankings in the 21st century have gone on to win the national championship.

So, while history may not always be with the No. 1 team in the preseason, it's definitely a good idea to be somewhere in the top five, going on recent data.

Here is a look at the preseason No. 1 college football teams since 2000, and where they finished in the Top 25, along with the national champion and where they started the season.

College football rankings: Comparing preseason No. 1 teams to national champions

College Football Playoff national champion Georgia opened as the No. 5 team in last year's preseason AP Top 25 poll.

College Football Playoff national champion Georgia opened as the No. 5 team in last year's preseason AP Top 25 poll.

BCS rankings era

2000 Preseason No. 1: Nebraska (finished No. 8); National Champion: Oklahoma (preseason No. 19)

2001 Preseason No. 1: Florida (finished No. 3); National Champion: Miami (preseason No. 2)

2002 Preseason No. 1: Miami (finished No. 2); National Champion: Ohio State (preseason No. 13)

2003 Preseason No. 1: Oklahoma (finished No. 3); Co-National Champion: USC (preseason No. 8)

— BCS national champion LSU finished No. 2 in the AP Top 25 poll after starting at No. 14 in the 2003 preseason rankings

2004 Preseason No. 1: USC (finished No. 1); National Champion: USC 

2005 Preseason No. 1: USC (finished No. 2); National Champion: Texas (preseason No. 2)

2006 Preseason No. 1: Ohio State (finished No. 2); National Champion: Florida (preseason No. 7)

2007 Preseason No. 1: USC (finished No. 3); National Champion: LSU (preseason No. 2)

2008 Preseason No. 1: Georgia (finished No. 13); National Champion: Florida (preseason No. 5)

2009 Preseason No. 1: Florida (finished No. 3); National Champion: Alabama (preseason No. 5)

2010 Preseason No. 1: Alabama (finished No. 10); National Champion: Auburn (preseason No. 22)

2011 Preseason No. 1: Oklahoma (finished No. 16); National Champion: Alabama (preseason No. 2)

2012 Preseason No. 1: USC (finished unranked); National Champion: Alabama (preseason No. 2)

2013 Preseason No. 1: Alabama (finished No. 7); National Champion: Florida State (preseason No. 11)

College Football Playoff rankings era

2014 Preseason No. 1: Florida State (finished No. 5); National Champion: Ohio State (preseason No. 5)

2015 Preseason No. 1: Ohio State (finished No. 4); National Champion: Alabama (preseason No. 3)

2016 Preseason No. 1: Alabama (finished No. 2); National Champion: Clemson (preseason No. 2)

2017 Preseason No. 1: Alabama (finished No. 1); National Champion: Alabama

2018 Preseason No. 1: Alabama (finished No. 2); National Champion: Clemson (preseason No. 2)

2019 Preseason No. 1: Clemson (finished No. 2); National Champion: LSU (preseason No. 6)

2020 Preseason No. 1: Clemson (finished No. 3); National Champion: Alabama (preseason No. 3)

2021 Preseason No. 1: Alabama (finished No. 2); National Champion: Georgia (preseason No. 5)

2022 Preseason No. 1: Alabama (finished No. 5); National Champion: Georgia (preseason No. 3)

Total appearances in AP Top 25 preseason poll

1. Ohio State — 69; 94.5 percent of polls, 8.3 average ranking

2. Oklahoma — 64; 87.7 percent of polls, 6.6 average ranking

3. USC — 61; 83.6 percent of polls, 9.8 average ranking

4. Notre Dame — 59; 80.8 percent of polls, 9.1 average ranking

5. Alabama — 56; 76.7 percent of polls, 7.2 average ranking

6. Texas — 55; 75.3 percent of polls, 9.1 average ranking

7. Michigan — 51; 69.9 percent of polls, 7.7 average ranking

8. Penn State — 48; 65.8 percent of polls, 11.1 average ranking

9. Nebraska — 46; 63.0 percent of polls, 8.3 average ranking

10. Tennessee — 42; 57.5 percent of polls, 11.9 average ranking


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