TCU vs. Baylor odds, spread, lines: Week 12 college football picks, predictions by computer model
A pair of Big 12 rivals meet up this weekend as league favorite TCU travels to defending conference champ Baylor in college football's Week 12 action on Saturday.
TCU is one of the nation's four remaining undefeated teams after winning its 10th straight game at Texas last weekend, clinching a berth in the Big 12 Championship Game and taking a step closer towards College Football Playoff contention.
Baylor hasn't defended its conference title as well as it expected this season, coming in at 6-4 overall with a 4-3 mark in Big 12 play, and fresh off an ugly 28-point loss to Kansas State at home last weekend.
What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.
TCU vs. Baylor picks, predictions
Week 12 college football picks: TCU vs. Baylor
TCU's chance of victory: The computers favor the visitors by the slimmest of margins as TCU has the 51.2 percent chance to win the game outright.
Baylor's chance of victory: That leaves the Bears with a comfortable 48.8 percent chance to pull off the upset at home.
TCU vs. Baylor point spread: TCU comes into the game as the narrow 3 point favorites to defeat Baylor, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.
Total: 56.5 points
Moneyline: TCU -143, Baylor + 110
College Football HQ prediction: Our projections indicate that TCU will win the game by defeating Baylor, 30-23, and cover the spread.
How to watch: The game is set for Sat., Nov. 19 at 11 a.m. Central on the main Fox network and streams on fuboTV fuboTV (Try for free).
TCU predictions: FPI rates the Horned Frogs as the No. 16 team in its 131 college football rankings, which slot teams by an expected point per game scoring margin, projecting TCU to be 14.1 points better than an average team on a neutral field.
Baylor predictions: By the same metric, the computer ranks Baylor at No. 19 overall nationally with a projected 11.1 point per game margin.
College Football Power Index
Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.
Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.
College football rankings
- Georgia
- Ohio State
- Michigan
- TCU
- Tennessee
- LSU
- USC
- Alabama
- Clemson
- Utah
- Penn State
- Oregon
- North Carolina
- Ole Miss
- Washington
- UCLA
- UCF
- Notre Dame
- Kansas State
- Florida State
- Tulane
- Cincinnati
- Coastal Carolina
- Oklahoma State
- Oregon State
More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | All Teams