Why Latest Bracketology Praises Duke

Duke basketball has put together one of the best bodies of work in college basketball, and its NCAA Tournament seeding projection reflects that.
Duke Blue Devils forward Cameron Boozer (12) directs a play as Louisville Cardinals guard J'vonne Hadley (1) guards during a conference ACC game. January 6, 2026.
Duke Blue Devils forward Cameron Boozer (12) directs a play as Louisville Cardinals guard J'vonne Hadley (1) guards during a conference ACC game. January 6, 2026. | Matt Stone/Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

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The Duke basketball program (16-1, 5-0 ACC) entered the 2025-26 college basketball season regarded as one of the best teams in the nation, and through the midway point of the campaign, has firmly established itself as a true National Championship contender.

Blue Devils head coach Jon Scheyer has never shied away from giving his team a gauntlet of a non-conference schedule to get the most out of them on both sides of the ball, and this year was no different. Before ACC play even began, the Blue Devils took on five ranked opponents, and have already faced two through their five league contests.

Cayden Booze
Jan 3, 2026; Tallahassee, Florida, USA; Duke Blue Devils guard Cayden Boozer (2) during the second half against the Florida State Seminoles at Donald L. Tucker Center. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-Imagn Images | Melina Myers-Imagn Images

Duke went 4-1 in the non-con against ranked opponents, with its one loss coming to No. 15 Texas Tech at Madison Square Garden on Dec. 20, where the team fell 82-81. Through Duke's first 17 games of the season, it is 6-1 in games against ranked opponents, 7-1 against Quadrant 1 opponents, and 5-0 in true road games.

Jon Scheye
Duke Blue Devils head coach Jon Scheyer yells in the first half as his team fell behind by 10 points in the first half. The Duke Blue Devils rallied from being down nine points at the half to beat Louisville 84-73 Tuesday night at KFC Yum Center January 6, 2026. | Matt Stone/Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Scheyer’s Scheduling for Duke Paying Off

One of the reasons coaches schedule tough non-conference schedules is to allow their teams not only the opportunity to stack marquee wins, but also to make losses look a lot better. A squad going 4-3 against seven power conference opponents looks a lot better than one going 7-0 against a bunch of low-majors.

Duke jumped to No. 3 in the NCAA NET Rankings following its win over California (13-5, 1-4 ACC) on Wednesday night, marking the seventh Q1 victory of the season for the team. The only clubs in the nation with six Quad 1 wins are Arizona and Michigan, which rank ahead of Duke in the NET, respectively.

Duke will have 9 more Quad 1 opportunities throughout the remainder of the regular season in a vastly improved ACC. The Blue Devils will also face No. 2 Michigan on a neutral floor on Feb. 21, which will potentially be the best game of the entire college hoops season.

Cameron Booze
Jan 14, 2026; Berkeley, California, USA; California Golden Bears forward John Camden (2) and California Golden Bears center Milos Ilic (8) double team Duke Blue Devils forward Cameron Boozer (12) during the second half at Haas Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: Neville E. Guard-Imagn Images | Neville E. Guard-Imagn Images

Duke Moves to 1-Seed Line in Latest ESPN Bracketology

In ESPN's latest Bracketology update for the 2026 NCAA Tournament, Duke moved back to the 1-seed line along with Arizona, Michigan, and UConn. The Blue Devils spent most of the season as a 1-seed before their loss to the Red Raiders, dropping them to a 2-seed.

Although Duke doesn't have the statement win over a perennial top-five team in college basketball, its overall body of work is among the best in the sport. The Blue Devils will obviously take losses as the year progresses, but there won't be a shortage of opportunities for the program to continue stacking Q1 victories.

Seven other ACC teams were included in the projected 68-team field: Clemson (5-seed), Virginia (5-seed), Louisville (6-seed), North Carolina (6-seed), SMU (7-seed), Miami (8-seed), and NC State (9-seed).

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Hugh Straine
HUGH STRAINE

Hugh Straine is an accomplished writer and proud Bucknell University alumnus, holding a Bachelor of Arts in Creative Writing. He has served as editor of The Bucknellian, worked as an analyst for ESPN+ and Hulu, and currently reports on college sports as a general reporter for On SI.