Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Tennessee

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Volunteers for their Tuesday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Nov 9, 2024; Louisville, Kentucky, USA; Louisville Cardinals forward Kasean Pryor (7) controls the ball as Tennessee Volunteers guard Cameron Carr (43) defends during the first half at KFC Yum! Center. Tennessee defeated Louisville 77-55. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images | Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (9-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Tennessee (7-3, 0-0 SEC) on Tuesday, Dec. 16 at 7:00 p.m. EST at Thompson-Boling Arena. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Volunteers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Tennessee	Louisville
AP/USAT	20th/20th	11th/11th
SOS	38th	89th
SOR	47th	13th
NET	36th	11th
RPI	50th	41st
BPI	18th	6th
KenPom	18th	10th
Torvik	18th	10th
EvanMiya	20th	12th

Team Leaders

	Tennessee	Louisville
Points	Ja'Kobi Gillespie (17.3)	Ryan Conwell (19.4)
Rebounds	Nate Ament (7.1)	Sananda Fru (6.2)
Assists	Ja'Kobi Gillespie (5.4)	Mikel Brown Jr. (5.1)
Steals	Bishop Boswell (1.9)	Kobe Rodgers (1.3)
Blocks	Felix Okpara (1.7)	Sananda Fru (1.2)

Scoring

	Tennessee	Louisville
Points Per Game	80.9	94.3
Field Goal %	46.8	47.9
FGM/FGA Per Game	28.9/61.7	30.4/63.5
Three Point %	34.6	37.5
3PTM/3PTA	7.4/21.4	13.2/35.2
Free Throw %	72.7	77.8
FTM/FTA Per Game	15.7/21.6	20.3/26.1

Rebounding

	Tennessee	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	43.3	42.6
Off. Reb. Per Game	15.6	12.7
Def. Reb. Per Game	27.7	29.9
Rebound Margin	12.9	8.0

Defense

	Tennessee	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	66.0	68.1
Opp. FG%	38.5	37.8
Opp. 3PT%	29.7	29.6
Steals Per Game	7.5	8.1
Blocks Per Game	3.7	3.8
Turnovers Forced Per Game	12.4	13.9

Ball Handling

	Tennessee	Louisville
Assists Per Game	18.8	19.7
Turnovers Per Game	13.2	10.9
Turnover Margin	0.8	3.0
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.42	1.81

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 57.8 percent chance to win against the Volunteers. Louisville has a BPI rating of 22.0 (6th overall), whereas Tennessee has a BPI rating of 16.9 (18th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 49 percent chance to take down the Volunteers, with a projected final score of 80-79 in favor of UT. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +27.72 (10th overall), whereas Tennessee has an adjusted efficiency margin of +23.10 (18th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 43 percent chance to take down the Vols, with a projected final score of 80-78 in favor of UT. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9451 (10th overall), whereas Tennessee has a "Barthag" of .9253 (18th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 83, Tennessee 82.

(Photo of Kasean Pryor: Jamie Rhodes - Imagn Images)

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