Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Jackson State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Tigers for their Thursday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Louisville Cardinals guard Mikel Brown Jr. (0) scored 11 points with six assists as the Cards roll past the visiting Bulldogs 104-45 at the KFC Yum! Center Monday night, Nov. 3, 2025. | Matt Stone/Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (1-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Jackson State (0-1, 0-0 SWAC) on Thursday, Nov. 6 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Tigers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	JSU	UofL
AP/USAT	NR/NR	11th/10th
SOS	9th	201st
SOR	168th	91st
NET	N/A	N/A
RPI	N/A	N/A
BPI	306th	3rd
KenPom	265th	11th
Torvik	322nd	8th
EvanMiya	305th	8th

Team Leaders

	JSU	UofL
Points	Devin Ree (19.0)	Khani Rooths (20.0)
Rebounds	Daeshun Ruffin (5.0)	J'Vonne Hadley (9.0)
Assists	Dorian McMillian (3.0)	Mikel Brown Jr. (6.0)
Steals	Three Tied (2.0)	Vangelis Zougris (3.0)
Blocks	Two Tied (1.0)	Sananda Fru (2.0)

Scoring

	JSU	UofL
Points Per Game	55.0	104.0
Field Goal %	30.6	53.2
FGM/FGA Per Game	19.0/62.0	33.0/62.0
Three Point %	24.1	37.5
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	7.0/29.0	12./32.0
Free Throw %	71.4	78.8
FTM/FTA Per Game	10.0/14.0	26.0/33.0

Rebounding

	JSU	UofL
Rebounds Per Game	19.0	47.0
Off. Reb. Per Game	4.0	12.0
Def. Reb. Per Game	15.0	35.0
Rebound Margin	-42.0	14.0

Defense

	JSU	UofL
Opp. Points Per Game	113.0	45.0
Opp. FG%	54.8	22.8
Opp. 3PT%	45.9	10.5
Steals Per Game	11.0	12.0
Blocks Per Game	2.0	4.0
Turnovers Forced Per Game	12.0	25.0

Ball Handling

	JSU	UofL
Assists Per Game	5.0	23.0
Turnovers Per Game	11.0	17.0
Turnover Margin	1.0	8.0
Assist/Turnover Ratio	0.45	1.35

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 99.0 percent chance to win against Jackson State. Louisville has a BPI rating of 21.3 (3rd overall), whereas Jackson State has a BPI rating of -8.2 (306th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 99 percent chance to take down the Tigers, with a projected final score of 96-68 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +24.79 (11th overall), whereas Jackson State has an adjusted efficiency margin of -8.07 (265th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 97 percent chance to take down the Tigers, with a projected final score of 98-69 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9306 (8th overall), whereas Jackson State has a "Barthag" of .3869 (221st overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 95, Jackson State 58.

(Photo of Mikel Brown Jr.: Matt Stone - Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

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