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Predicting Oregon Ducks' Biggest X Factor

Who is the biggest X factor for the Oregon Ducks this upcoming season?
Oregon head coach Dan Lanning walks the field during warmups as the Oregon Ducks take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders in the Orange Bowl on Jan. 1, 2026, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida.
Oregon head coach Dan Lanning walks the field during warmups as the Oregon Ducks take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders in the Orange Bowl on Jan. 1, 2026, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida. | USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

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The Oregon Ducks are entering the 2026 college football season with high expectations. If the Ducks are going to be a real threat to win the national championship, things will need to click on all sides of the ball. 

ESPN revealed their top X factor for each top 25 team in college football this season. What’s Oregon’s biggest X factor?

Oregon's Biggest X Factor

oregon ducks koi perich x factor secondary defensive back transfer portal dillon thieneman minnesota golden gophers big ten
Oct 11, 2025; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Golden Gophers defensive back Koi Perich (3) reacts to his teams win after the game against the Purdue Boilermakers at Huntington Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Oregon is ranked No. 2 by ESPN and their biggest X factor according to ESPN is safety Koi Perich. Perich was previously with the Minnesota Golden Gophers before entering the portal as a four star transfer this offseason. He chose Oregon and will be a junior when he takes the field in 2026.

In 2024 and 2025 with Minnesota, Perich had 128 total tackles, 5.5 tackles for loss, six interceptions, one sack, five passes defended, and two forced fumbles. In 2024, Perich was named First-team All-Big Ten and Second-team All-American. In 2025, he was named Second-team All-Big Ten. 

Perich will have big shoes to fill at the safety position for Oregon this season, as he will be replacing former Ducks safety Dillon Thieneman. Thieneman was selected in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft by the Chicago Bears. 

oregon ducks koi perich x factor secondary defensive back transfer portal dillon thieneman minnesota golden gophers big ten
Jun 11, 2026; Lake Forest, IL, USA; Chicago Bears defensive back Dillon Thieneman (31) speaks during Minicamp at Halas Hall. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Thieneman, like Perich transferred to Oregon from a Big Ten school after two seasons there. Thieneman spent the first two years of his collegiate football career with the Purdue Boilermakers in 2023 and 2024. He was named Third-team All-American in 2023. He entered the portal after the 2024 season and transferred to Oregon as a four star transfer. 

oregon ducks koi perich x factor secondary defensive back transfer portal dillon thieneman minnesota golden gophers big ten
Dec 26, 2025; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Minnesota Golden Gophers defensive back Koi Perich (3) against the New Mexico Lobos during the Rate Bowl at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Thieneman thrived in his one season at Oregon in 2025. He had 96 total tackles, two interceptions, 3.5 tackles for loss, one sack, and five passes defended. Thieneman was named a First-team All-American. 

Will Perich be able to follow this similar path to Eugene like Thieneman and fill the void left by him?

Oregon’s Talented Secondary

oregon ducks koi perich x factor secondary defensive back transfer portal dillon thieneman minnesota golden gophers big ten
Oct 11, 2025; Eugene, Oregon, USA; Oregon Ducks defensive back Brandon Finney Jr. (4) reacts after intercepting a pass thrown by Indiana Hoosiers quarterback Fernando Mendoza (15) (ntot pictured) and returning it for a touchdown during the fourth quarter at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Perich is joining an Oregon secondary that has no shortage of talent. A breakout star on the Oregon defense last season was defensive back Brandon Finney Jr. 

Finney was a four star recruit in Oregon’s 2025 recruiting class. He made an impact right away as a freshman. During the season, Finney had 42 total tackles, three interceptions (one returned for a touchdown), eight passes defended, two forced fumbles, one fumble recovery, three tackles for loss, and one sack. 

Finney put the country on notice in Oregon’s Orange Bowl win over the Texas Tech Red Raiders, intercepting two passes and winning the 2026 Orange Bowl Defensive MVP.  He enters 2026 as one of the top sophomores in the entire country. 

oregon ducks koi perich x factor secondary defensive back transfer portal dillon thieneman minnesota golden gophers big ten
Oregon’s Brandon Finney Jr., left, and Na'eem Offord dance to shout during the Oregon Spring Game at Autzen Stadium in Eugene April 25, 2026 | USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

Another young defensive back that Oregon fans should have high hopes for this season is defensive back Na’eem Offord. Offord signed with Oregon as a five star recruit in their 2025 recruiting class. 

Offord had 15 total tackles as a true freshman for Oregon. He’ll look to take a big step forward as a sophomore in 2026. Offord without a doubt has the talent and upside to be a force for the Ducks secondary.

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Cory Pappas
CORY PAPPAS

Cory Pappas is sports writer for USC Trojans On SI and Oregon Ducks On SI. Since starting in March of 2024, he has been writing breaking news stories, game previews, game recaps, and more across College Sports, the NFL, MLB, NBA, and Olympics for Total Apex Sports. In addition to writing, Cory is also a sports data scout for Sportradar. He covers live sporting events ranging from college athletics to semi-pro and professional. Before joining the industry, Cory graduated from the University of Oregon in 2022. He ran track for Oregon's club Track and Field team. Before Oregon, he played varsity basketball and track and field in high school in Walnut Creek, CA. Cory is using his lifelong passion for sports and writing together.

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