Nick Saban, Kirk Herbstreit Explain Predictions for USC vs. Notre Dame

On ESPN's College GameDay, everyone except Desmond Howard picked the USC Trojans to beat the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Nick Saban and Kirk Herbstreit explained why they are predicting Notre Dame to win at home on Saturday.
Oct 19, 2024; Austin, Texas, USA;  Alabama Crimson Tide former football coach and current ESPN analyst Nick Saban on the set of ESPN's College Game Day at the University of Texas on the South Mall, before a game between the Texas Longhorns and the Georgia Bulldogs  at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. s
Oct 19, 2024; Austin, Texas, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide former football coach and current ESPN analyst Nick Saban on the set of ESPN's College Game Day at the University of Texas on the South Mall, before a game between the Texas Longhorns and the Georgia Bulldogs at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. s | Sara Diggins/USA TODAY Network via Imagn Images

ESPN's College GameDay was in Athens, Georgia for the No. 9 Bulldogs' top-10 clash with the No. 4 Ole Miss Rebels. Some were surprised that the popular show was not at No. 13 Notre Dame for the Fighting Irish's historic rivalry with the No. 20 USC Trojans, but GameDay's crew spent plenty of time talking about the "Battle for the Jeweled Shillelagh."

College GameDay Picks Against USC

Unfortunately for USC fans, Nick Saban, Kirk Herbstreit, and Pat McAfee picked Notre Dame to beat USC. Only Desmond Howard picked the Trojans to pull off the upset on the road.

Look I think Notre Dame losing to two very good teams in very close games the first two games of the season. They’d still be one of the better teams in the country, so I’m going Notre Dame," Saban said while explaining his pick for the Fighting Irish.

Herbstreit agreed with Saban, picking Notre Dame over USC.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish USC Trojans Marcus Freeman Lincoln Riley espn's College GameDay Nick Saban predictions
Oct 11, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; USC Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley (wearing white visor) celebrates along with defensive end coach Shaun Nua after kicker Ryon Sayeri (48) hit a 54-yard field goal in the second half against the Michigan Wolverines at United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. | Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

"We just have to make sure this is as big as it gets for a week 8 game. If you look at Notre Dame they don’t have a conference championship game. They win this game, heavily favored the rest of the way," said Herbstreit. 

"Who’s that fourth team going to be in the Big Ten? We know about Oregon, Indiana, Ohio State. Who’s that next team? If SC wins this one, everybody’s going to be talking about the Trojans. So, a lot at stake. Notre Dame, at home, wins it," Herbstreit continued.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish USC Trojans Marcus Freeman Lincoln Riley espn's College GameDay Nick Saban predictions
Pat McAfee, right, talks to Kirk Herbstreit on the set of ESPN College GameDay prior to the NCAA football game between the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Texas Longhorns at Ohio Stadium on Aug. 30, 2025. | Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Oddsmakers agree with most of the College GameDay cast as Notre Dame is favored by 10.5 points over USC, according to DraftsKings. The point spread initially favored the Fighting Irish by 7.5 points before leaning against the Trojans.

MORE: What Advanced Analytics Say About USC vs. Notre Dame Matchup


MORE: USC's Lincoln Riley Reveals Opinion on Future Rivalry Games vs. Notre Dame

MORE: Three Keys for USC Trojans to Keep Playoff Hopes Alive Against Notre Dame

Nick Saban Reveals Keys for USC Defense

During ESPN's College GameDay, Nick Saban broke down the USC defense and how the Trojans have found success rushing the quarterback under defensive coordinator D'Anton Lynn. The legendary coach was quite complimentary of USC's versatility, but he also pointed out some weaknesses that Notre Dame might exploit.

They got six guys up, and they got a seventh guy who could be a potential blitzer, and they're gonna pop out and play what I call fire zone coverage, three under 3D. But the key to the drill here is the X is short, so this corner needs to alert the mic who's dropping out . . . that you don't need to take him because you got a sneaker route coming. So, this is great communication. It's great coaching, it's a good job of pattern matching," Saban said while watching film with Rece Davis.

"So now they've got all the zones covered, they've got everybody covered, they get great pressure on the quarterback off the edge, and they're gonna get a sack," Saban continued.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish USC Trojans Marcus Freeman Lincoln Riley espn's College GameDay Nick Saban predictions
Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr throws a pass in the second half of a NCAA football game against NC State at Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday, Oct. 11, 2025, in South Bend. | MICHAEL CLUBB/SOUTH BEND TRIBUNE / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

"This has been the issue for USC is they create a lot of negative plays, but they also give up some big plays, and that'll be a key for Notre Dame today. Run the ball, stay out of negative down a distance situations, but then can we make explosive plays when they do pressure?" Saban said.

Notre Dame's offense threatens opposing defenses with running backs Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price while quarterback CJ Carr has shown continued improvement in his first season as a starter. Will USC's defense slow down the Fighting Irish in South Bend?


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Charlie Viehl
CHARLIE VIEHL

Charlie Viehl is the deputy editor for the Oregon Ducks, Colorado Buffaloes, and USC Trojans on SI. He has written hundreds of articles for SI and has covered events like the Big Ten Championship and College Football Playoff Quarterfinals at the Rose Bowl. While pursuing a career in sports journalism, he is also a lifelong musician, holding a degree in Music and Philosophy from Boston College. A native of Pasadena, California, he covered sports across Los Angeles while at Loyola High School and edited the Gabelli Presidential Scholars Program’s magazine at BC. He is excited to bring his passion for storytelling and sports to fans of college athletics.