Predicting USC's Record After Difficult Schedule Release

The USC Trojans 2026 football schedule has been released. Here are some way-too-early game by game predictions for each of them.
Aug 30, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; Southern California Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley reacts during the game against the Missouri State Bears at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Aug 30, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; Southern California Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley reacts during the game against the Missouri State Bears at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images | Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

The USC 2026 football schedule has been released. Here are are the dates for their games and an early win/loss prediction for each game in coach Lincoln Riley's fifth season at USC.

There are only 11 games officially scheduled as of now due to USC not facing the Notre Dame Fighting Irish this upcoming season. USC announced that their 12th game will be in Week Zero against a team to be decided at a later date.

USC Trojans 2026 Schedule

USC Trojans 2026 Schedule Release Big Ten Conference Lincoln Riley Oregon Ducks Ohio State Buckeyes Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Sep 13, 2025; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Southern California Trojans quarterback Jayden Maiava (14) talks with Southern California Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley before the game against the Purdue Boilermakers at Ross-Ade Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Marc Lebryk-Imagn Images | Marc Lebryk-Imagn Images

Sept. 5 vs. Fresno State Bulldogs 

USC's second game of the season of their season will be a home game against Fresno State. The Trojans cruise to a win.

USC 56, Fresno State 17

Sept. 12 vs. Louisiana Rajin’ Cajuns 

USC beats the Cajuns soundly at the Coliseum.

USC 66, Lousiana 14

Sept. 19 at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

The Trojans first road game is across the entire country against Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights have strugged in Big Ten play and that will continue.

USC 38, Rutgers 20

Sept. 26 vs. Oregon Ducks 

USC Trojans 2026 Schedule Release Big Ten Conference Lincoln Riley Oregon Ducks Ohio State Buckeyes Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Nov 22, 2025; Eugene, Oregon, USA; Southern California Trojans wide receiver Tanook Hines (16) runs with the ball during the first half against the Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images | Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images

Hosting Oregon this season is without a doubt one of the biggest games in the Lincoln Riley era at USC. In a thrilling game, the Ducks escape LA with a win.

Oregon 31, USC 30

Oct. 3 vs. Washington Huskies

The Trojans will look to rebound from a crushing loss to Oregon the following week agaisnt Washington. They will do so.

USC 31, Washington 24

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Oct. 10 at Penn State Nittany Lions 

USC Trojans 2026 Schedule Release Big Ten Conference Lincoln Riley Oregon Ducks Ohio State Buckeyes Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Oct 12, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions quarterback Drew Allar (15) avoids USC Trojans defensive end Braylan Shelby (34) as he carries the ball for a short a short gain in the second at United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images | Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

USC faces a difficult road game at Penn State. The Nittany Lions will look a lot of different with first year coach Matt Campbell. The Trojans have struggled on the road against good teams under coach Lincoln Riley. Add this one to that.

Penn State 27, USC 24

Oct. 24 at Wisconsin Badgers

The Trojans go on the road to face a Wisconsin team that finished 2025 strong. The Trojans should be able to outlast the Badgers to avoid dropping a second straight game.

USC 27, Wisconsin 20

Oct. 31 vs. Ohio State Buckeyes 

USC Trojans 2026 Schedule Release Big Ten Conference Lincoln Riley Oregon Ducks Ohio State Buckeyes Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Ohio State Buckeyes head coach Ryan Day leads his team onto the field prior to the NCAA football game against the Texas Longhorns at Ohio Stadium on Aug. 30, 2025. | Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

USC's next two games are about as hard a stretch as one can have in college football. The Buckeyes come to town for the first time since 2008. With their backs against the wall, USC gets their biggest win in years.

USC 31, Ohio State 27

Nov. 14 at Indiana Hoosiers 

On the road against the defending national champions off a huge win will be a tall task. Indiana protects home field and wins.

Indiana 27, USC 14

Nov. 21 vs. Maryland Terrapins 

The Trojans come back home and dominate a Maryland team that will be towards the bottom of the Big Ten.

USC 40, Maryland 17

Nov. 28 at UCLA Bruins 

USC finishes off their season against rival UCLA. USC could very well be in a position where they need to win to make the College Football Playoff. Trojans win.

USC 34, UCLA 23

Final Record: 8-3 (Pending 12th game)


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Cory Pappas
CORY PAPPAS

Cory Pappas is sports writer for USC Trojans On SI and Oregon Ducks On SI. Since starting in March of 2024, he has been writing breaking news stories, game previews, game recaps, and more across College Sports, the NFL, MLB, NBA, and Olympics for Total Apex Sports. In addition to writing, Cory is also a sports data scout for Sportradar. He covers live sporting events ranging from college athletics to semi-pro and professional. Before joining the industry, Cory graduated from the University of Oregon in 2022. He ran track for Oregon's club Track and Field team. Before Oregon, he played varsity basketball and track and field in high school in Walnut Creek, CA. Cory is using his lifelong passion for sports and writing together.

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