Boxing

Erickson Lubin vs Ardreal Holmes Jr: Betting Odds, How To Watch & Fight Prediction

Erickson Lubin and Ardreal Holmes Jr will clash in an IBF junior middleweight title eliminator on Saturday.

Nathaniel Marrero

Erickson Lubin vs Jesus Ramos
Erickson Lubin vs Jesus Ramos / IMAGO/Zuma Press Wire

Erickson Lubin and Ardeal Holmes Jr both have their sights set on a title shot, and to earn one, they'll have to go through each other.

Lubin and Holmes Jr are set to clash in an IBF junior middleweight title eliminator on Saturday at the Silver Spurs Arena in Kissimmee, FL. The winner will be in line to face IBF junior middleweight champion Bakhram Murtazaliev (23-0, 17 KOs)

Lubin (26-2, 18 KOs) will return to the ring for the first time in over 18 months since he last stepped into the ring, which was when he defeated Jesus Ramos by a heavily disputed unanimous decision on Sept. 30, 2023. He's won two straight fights since his hellacious war vs. WBC junior middleweight champion Sebastian Fundora (22-1-1, 14 KOs), which Lubin's coach, Kevin Cunningham, stopped after the 9th round due to the damage done to his face.

Holmes Jr. (17-0, 6 KOs) is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Edwine Humaine Jr on Dec. 12.

For Lubin, 29, he'll be looking for his second world title shot nearly eight years after his first crack at gold, which he lost by first-round knockout to former undisputed junior middleweight champion Jermell Charlo (35-2-1, 19 KOs). Meanwhile, Holmes Jr., 30, will be looking to cement his place in a loaded 154-pound division and earn the first world title shot of his career.

Here's a closer look at the betting odds heading into Saturday night.

(Odds courtesy FanDuel)

Erickson Lubin vs Ardreal Holmes Jr moneyline odds

Moneyline: Erickson Lubin -310, Ardreal Holmes Jr. +220

Erickson Lubin vs Ardreal Holmes Jr Win Via KO/TKO or Decision

Will the fight go the distance: Yes -164, No +128

Erickson Lubin vs Ardreal Holmes Jr knockout odds

KO/TKO: Erickson Lubin +180, Ardreal Holmes Jr. +650

Erickson Lubin vs Ardreal Holmes Jr decision odds

Decision: Erickson Lubin +130, Ardreal Holmes Jr. +380

Draw: +1400

Erickson Lubin vs Ardreal Holmes Jr Prediction

There's no shortage of question marks heading into the high-stakes junior middleweight clash. Can Holmes Jr. hang at this level? Has Lubin really turned the corner and is ready for another chance at a world title?

Holmes Jr. has a clear height advantage, standing at 6-foot-2, and he'll need to use that to be in and out of range. He's a pure boxer who likes to stay on the move while using his jab and a chopping straight left hand out of the southpaw stance. He also likes to counter opponents on their way in with his right hook, which will prove useful as Lubin looks to close the gap.

Lubin, who stands at 5-foot-11 and is also a southpaw, boasts much more power than Holmes, especially in his straight left hand. He's also a very good body puncher, which will prove very useful against someone like Holmes Jr., who likes to stay on the move. In one of the most impressive wins of his career, Lubin was able to stop former unified junior middleweight champion Jeison Rosario with body shots on June 26, 2021.

Holmes Jr. also has a tendency to be reactive with his hands defensively. That could allow Lubin to use feints to the body to set up big straight left hands and right hooks to the chin.

Holmes Jr. certainly has the ability to box and to stick and move. If he's able to use his jab and straight left hand to keep Lubin at bay and his footwork to keep the hard-hitting southpaw moving, he'll be well positioned to pull off the upset.

Lubin has proven to be at or on the cusp of world-class level, which is far better than what Holmes Jr. has shown to this point in his career. I think Lubin will eventually get going and break Holmes down before landing with bigger shots late in the fight to earn the stoppage victory late in front of the home crowd.

Prediction: Lubin by 9th round TKO

How to watch Erickson Lubin vs Ardreal Holmes Jr

Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025

Time: 6 PM ET / 3 PM PT

TV/ Stream: ProBox TV

Location: Silver Spurs Arena, Kissimmee, FL

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Nathaniel Marrero
NATHANIEL MARRERO

Nathaniel Marrero is a writer for the Boxing, Pittsburgh Pirates and Baltimore Ravens On SI sites. He's also written for the Orlando Sentinel and MLB.com, and was a part of UCF's sports show, Hitting The Field. He attended UCF and graduated with a bachelor's degree in journalism in 2023. Twitter/X: Nate_Marrero