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NC State vs. Florida State odds, spread, lines: Week 6 college football picks, predictions by computer model

Picks, predictions for Florida State vs. NC State on the Week 6 college football schedule

A pair of 4-1 ACC rivals meet up in Raleigh as NC State hosts Florida State in college football's Week 6 action on Saturday.

Both are coming off 10-point losses from last weekend after having started the season at 4-0 before then: NC State, on the road against Clemson, and Florida State at home to Wake Forest.

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What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

NC State vs. Florida State picks, predictions, odds

NC State Wolfpack college football team schedule, rankings

Week 6 college football picks: NC State vs. Florida State

The computer is going with the home team, as NC State has the 60.6 percent chance to defeat Florida State on Saturday.

That leaves the Seminoles the 39.4 percent shot to take down the Wolfpack.

The oddsmakers project a close game, as NC State comes in the narrow 3.5 point favorites, according to the line at SI Sportsbook, which set the over/under mark at 52 points for the matchup.

Related: College football point spreads, betting lines for Week 6 games

NC State checks in at No. 25 on the index's national 131 college football rankings, a jump of 6 spots despite losing its first game last weekend.

That rise is accounted for an increase in NC State's projected per-game scoring margin, which increased to 9.5 points per game, according to the computer, adding up to a projected win total of 8.6 games on the year.

Florida State dropped 5 spots from week to week on the FPI poll, to No. 27 overall, estimated to win 8.0 games on the year behind a per-game scoring margin of plus-8.9 points each time out.

College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

College football rankings

According to AP top 25 poll

  1. Alabama
  2. Georgia
  3. Ohio State
  4. Michigan
  5. Clemson
  6. USC
  7. Oklahoma State
  8. Tennessee
  9. Ole Miss
  10. Penn State
  11. Utah
  12. Oregon
  13. Kentucky
  14. NC State
  15. Wake Forest
  16. BYU
  17. TCU
  18. UCLA
  19. Kansas
  20. Kansas State
  21. Washington
  22. Syracuse
  23. Mississippi State
  24. Cincinnati
  25. LSU

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