SMU put on upset alert against Baylor

The Bears could walk into Dallas and knock off the No. 17 team in the country on Saturday.
Aug 29, 2025; Waco, Texas, USA;  Baylor Bears running back Bryson Washington (7) carries the ball a long gain against the Auburn Tigers during the first half at McLane Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Chris Jones-Imagn Images
Aug 29, 2025; Waco, Texas, USA; Baylor Bears running back Bryson Washington (7) carries the ball a long gain against the Auburn Tigers during the first half at McLane Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Chris Jones-Imagn Images / Chris Jones-Imagn Images
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The Baylor Bears travel to Dallas, Texas to face off with the No. 17 SMU Mustangs on Saturday morning at 11 a.m. CT. It is one of the biggest matchups of week two, and should provide us with a thrilling game.

After a disappointing loss to Auburn in the season opener, the Bears really need to get back on track with a win against the Mustangs. This team is too talented to start the season 0-2, and if they can pick up a win this weekend, they'll feel much better about themselves with Big 12 play just right around the corner.

As of Thursday, the Mustangs are 2.5 to 3-point favorites in their matchup against the Bears, but The Athletic believes the Mustangs might be in some trouble this weekend. They've picked the Bears to upset the Mustangs on the road and move to 1-1 on the season.

"Auburn’s Jackson Arnold was tough to contain for Baylor’s defense in the opener, and SMU coach Rhett Lashlee’s teams usually know how to run the ball. But the Mustangs have lost 13 straight games to Baylor, and Sawyer Robertson threw for 419 yards and three touchdowns last week," said Manny Navarro. "Baylor runs the ball more with Bryson Washington (150-plus rushing yards), controls the clock and wins in Dallas by a touchdown."

SMU is coming off a big win over East Texas A&M in week one, but this will be their first real challenge of the year. Meanwhile, the Bears are coming off a loss to an SEC opponent, so they've already been battle tested this year. That could play into the hands of Baylor on Saturday.

If Sawyer Robertson and Co. can look as good as they did in the second half against Auburn, they should have no problem keeping up with SMU's offense. It will come down to Baylor's defense getting off the field on crucial third downs. If they can make a few big stops, Baylor's offense should be too much for SMU to handle.

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Luke Hubbard
LUKE HUBBARD

Luke is a writer for the Baylor Bears On SI. He's an LSU graduate and previously covered the Tigers for two years. He also covers the New Orleans Saints and Formula 1. Luke's passion for sports and storytelling led him to become a sports writer.