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Kansas Basketball: KenPom Projects the Jayhawks' Path to Season’s End

Is there a light at the end of the tunnel for Bill Self's squad?
Mathey Gibson|
Dec 31, 2024; Lawrence, Kansas, USA; Kansas Jayhawks head coach Bill Self and assistant coach Kurt Townsend react during the second half against the West Virginia Mountaineers at Allen Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images
Dec 31, 2024; Lawrence, Kansas, USA; Kansas Jayhawks head coach Bill Self and assistant coach Kurt Townsend react during the second half against the West Virginia Mountaineers at Allen Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images | Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

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Kansas Jayhawks

The Kansas Jayhawks are entering the final stretch of the 2024-25 college basketball season with a projected record of 21-10 overall and 12-8 in the Big 12, according to KenPom, the widely-respected analytics system.

The Jayhawks currently sit in a competitive position in the Big 12 standings, and every game counts as they gear up for the postseason.

Here’s a breakdown of KenPom’s predictions for Kansas’ remaining games.

How Will Kansas Basketball Finish the Season? KenPom Projections

Jayhawks
Feb 15, 2025; Salt Lake City, Utah, USA; Utah Utes guard Hunter Erickson (0) defends Kansas Jayhawks guard Dajuan Harris Jr. (3) during the second half at the Jon M. Huntsman Center. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Creveling-Imagn Images | Christopher Creveling-Imagn Images

Tuesday, Feb. 18 – Kansas vs. BYU (Away)

  • Projected Score: Kansas 74, BYU 73
  • KenPom Win Probability: 51%

Saturday, Feb. 22 – Kansas vs. Oklahoma State (Home)

  • Projected Score: Kansas 82, Oklahoma State 64
  • KenPom Win Probability: 94%

Monday, Feb. 24 – Kansas vs. Colorado (Away)

  • Projected Score: Kansas 74, Colorado 65
  • KenPom Win Probability: 78%

Saturday, Mar. 1 – Kansas vs. Texas Tech (Home)

  • Projected Score: Kansas 73, Texas Tech 71
  • KenPom Win Probability: 58%

Monday, Mar. 3 – Kansas vs. Houston (Away)

  • Projected Score: Kansas 61, Houston 70
  • KenPom Win Probability: 20%

Saturday, Mar. 8 – Kansas vs. Arizona (Home)

  • Projected Score: Kansas 75, Arizona 72
  • KenPom Win Probability: 61%

With a projected 21-10 record, Kansas would finish as a mid-tier Big 12 team and likely secure an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament, with the most likely seed being No. 4.

RELATED: Kansas Basketball Bracketology: Where They Stand Before Pivotal Stretch

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Mathey Gibson
MATHEY GIBSON

Mathey Gibson is the Managing Editor for the Kansas Jayhawks On SI. A graduate of the University of Alabama, he has extensive experience covering major college sports, including reporting on Crimson Tide athletics since 2019 for outlets like Alabama Crimson Tide On SI, The Crimson White, and Tide Illustrated. Now focused on Kansas, Gibson has covered significant events such as the NCAA Tournament, College World Series, and the College Football Playoff, bringing a deep understanding of collegiate athletics to one of the nation’s premier programs.

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