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Texas vs. Kansas game time, picks, predictions: Week 5 college football odds, lines

Expert predictions for Texas vs. Kansas by the computer analytics model that picks college football games
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This weekend brings us a Big 12 matchup on the Forty Acres between a pair of undefeated ranked teams as No. 3 Texas welcomes No. 24 Kansas in college football's Week 5 action on Saturday.

After getting votes most of the season, the Jayhawks finally earned a spot in the AP top 25 poll this week after a 38-27 decision against conference foe BYU, that coming after wins over Illinois and Nevada. 

Meanwhile the Longhorns responded well after their statement win at Alabama two weeks ago, outscoring Wyoming and Baylor 69 to 16 behind an offense good for over 432 yards per game as Quinn Ewers has passed for 9 touchdowns on 1,033 yards.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Texas vs. Kansas picks, predictions

Texas Longhorns wide receiver Xavier Worthy catches a pass during a college football game.

Texas vs. Kansas picks, predictions

Texas odds: The computers project that the Longhorns have the convincing 93.5 percent chance to defeat Kansas, winning outright in 18,700 of the 20,000 simulations the model uses to pick winners.

Kansas odds: Conversely, the Jayhawks come out the winner in the remaining 6.5 percent of simulations (1,300 of the 20,000 sims).

Point spread: Texas comes into the game as 15.5 point favorites against Kansas, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 61.5 points.

Texas predictions: Moving up 1 spot on the index 133 team rankings, the Longhorns are forecasted to be 23.2 points better than an average opponent, and estimated to win 11.0 games this season.

Kansas predictions: KU jumped 7 spots on the computer polls, estimated to be 2.8 points better than an average opponent, and projected to win 6.5 games this season.

Texas vs. Kansas schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 30
Time: 2:30 p.m. Central
TV: ABC network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not strictly in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

College football rankings

According to AP top 25 poll

  1. Georgia
  2. Michigan
  3. Texas
  4. Ohio State
  5. Florida State
  6. Penn State
  7. Washington
  8. USC
  9. Oregon
  10. Utah
  11. Notre Dame
  12. Alabama
  13. LSU
  14. Oklahoma
  15. North Carolina
  16. Washington State
  17. Duke
  18. Miami
  19. Oregon State
  20. Ole Miss
  21. Tennessee
  22. Florida
  23. Missouri
  24. Kansas
  25. Fresno State

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

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