Bettors Backing Commanders in NFC Championship Game, Line Movement Towards Eagles

Reed Wallach | Jan 24, 2025

Jan 18, 2025; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Washington Commanders tight end Zach Ertz (86) celebrates touchdown pass with quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) during the second quarter in a 2025 NFC divisional round game at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images / Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images

The upstart Commanders will face NFC East rival the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday in the NFC championship game. 

After winning outright as double digit underdogs, the Commanders are now receiving a significant upgrade in the market against the Eagles, but that’s not stopping bettors from flocking to bet Washington as six point underdogs against Philadelphia on the road. 

Updated Eagles-Commanders betting at @BetMGM@Eagles open -5, now -6
▪️ 38% of bets, 37% of money on Eagles

Total open 48, now 47.5
▪️ 72% of bets, 51% of money on Over@Commanders open +190, now +240
▪️ 85% of bets, 75% of money on Commanders

— John Ewing (@johnewing) January 24, 2025

As seen above, despite about two-thirds of tickets going on the Commanders, the betting market has moved towards the home favorite on the news that the team will be healthy ahead of the title game while the Commanders will be without starting guard Sam Cosmi, who tore his ACL last week against the Lions. 

Here’s the updated betting odds for the NFC title game as many flock to back Jayden Daniels and the Commanders. 

Commanders vs. Eagles Odds, Spread and Total

Spread

• Commanders: +6 (-105)
• Eagles: -6 (-115)

Moneyline

• Commanders: +240
• Eagles: -300

Total: 47.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Odds courtesy of BETMGM

Sportsbooks Rooting for Eagles Cover in NFC Championship Game

As noted below from John Ewing of BETMGM, the sportsbook would prefer for the Eagles and Chiefs to win on Sunday as home favorites with a ton of action siding with the road underdogs. 

"The sportsbook is hoping for the Chiefs-Eagles Super Bowl; the public is all over the underdogs to win this weekend. Saquon and Josh Allen staying out of the endzone would be great for us on Sunday too."

- Christian Cipollini, Trading Manager, @BetMGM pic.twitter.com/anNKfZ8mOj

— John Ewing (@johnewing) January 24, 2025

The Commanders have been on a torrid run through the postseason with the rookie Daniels leading the way and has been continuously upgraded as the weeks go on. 

Just five weeks ago, the Commanders were a four-point home underdog against the Eagles. The team rallied to win in the final moments after the Eagles lost Jalen Hurts to a concussion in that game. Earlier in the season they won as four-and-a-half point favorites by eight, 26-18. 

Now, the two meet with a spot in the Super Bowl in the line with a similar point spread that the Eagles were last week against the Rams, winning by six in a snowy effort, but failing to cover the six-and-a-half point spread (winning by six). 

After two upset wins, bettors are counting on a third straight from Washington and a Super Bowl berth, but the market is moving in the opposite direction and siding with the Eagles. 

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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