Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Spread, Injuries, Trends for NFL Week 4

Iain MacMillan | Sep 24, 2024

Nov 26, 2023; Houston, Texas, USA; The ball is hiked to Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) against the Jacksonville Jaguars at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-Imagn Images / Thomas Shea-Imagn Images

The Jacksonville Jaguars are desperate to find something that works this season as their 0-3 record indicates their 2024 campaign has gotten out of hand in a hurry. Being on the wrong side of a blowout against the Buffalo Bills on Monday night proved that.

They'll do their best to get back on track in Week 4 when they face a tough test in the Houston Texans, who are coming off an embarrassing defeat of their own, falling to the Minnesota Vikings.

Let's dive into everything you need to know to bet on this game.

Jaguars vs. Texans Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Spread

Jaguars +7 (-115)
Texans -7 (-105)

Moneyline

Jaguars +240
Texans -295

Total

OVER 45.5 (-105)
UNDER 45.5 (-115)

Jaguars vs. Texans How to Watch

Date: Sunday, Sept. 29
Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
Venue: NRG Stadium
How to Watch (TV): CBS
Jaguars record: 0-3
Texans record: 2-1

Jaguars vs. Texans Betting Trends

Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games
The UNDER is 5-2 in the Jaguars' last seven games
Texans are 8-4 ATS and 10-2 straight up in the last 12 meetings between these teams
The UNDER is 6-1 the last seven times the Jaguars have played in Houston
Texans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games played in September

Jaguars vs. Texans Injury Reports

Jaguars Injury Report

Darnell Savage, S - Questionable
Evan Engram, TE - Questionable
Foyesade Oluokun, LB - Questionable
Jarrian Jones, CB - Questionable

Texans Injury Report

Dameon Pierce, RB - Questionable
Jarrett Patterson, C - Questionable
Joe Mixon, RB - Questionable
Tank Dell, WR - Questionable

Jaguars vs. Texans Key Players to Watch

Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence: The Trevor Lawrence doubt is starting to get louder by the week. He has looked bad in the first three games since signing a massive contract extension in the offseason, completing just 52.9% of passes for 560 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. His time could be limited in Jacksonville unless he starts playing much better in a hurry.

Houston Texans

Nico Collins: The Texans' top receiver has established himself as an elite receiver in the NFL, leading the league in receiving yards through the first three weeks with 338. He's presents a real problem for opposing defenses on a weekly basis.

Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction and Pick

Despite it being an ugly bet, I wrote in this week's edition of the "Road to 272 Bets" why I'm backing the Jaguars with the points in this one:

The Jaguars could not be lower without there being serious injuries so I have no choice but to buy low on this team and bet on them for the third straight game. Their results were disastrous the first two weeks but they didn't play as poorly as the final score indicated. The first time people saw them play was on Monday Night Football against the Bills where they DID play as bad as their record, and now the market is treating them like a bottom-five team in the league.

The Houston Texans haven't been able to win with margin at all this year and are coming off a bad loss to the Vikings. They're also outside the top 10 in most metrics, including Net Yards per Play where they rank 12th.

It's an ugly bet to make after how they looked against Buffalo, but this line is out of hand. Jacksonville with the points is the play.

Pick: Jaguars +7 (-115)