Mavericks vs. Rockets Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Monday, Nov. 3

The Rockets are massive favorites at home on Monday.

The Houston Rockets and forward Kevin Durant are double-digit favorites on Monday. / Paul Rutherford-Imagn Images

Kevin Durant and the Houston Rockets picked up a blowout win over the Boston Celtics on Saturday night, and they’re now favored at home on Monday in an in-state matchup with the Dallas Mavericks.

It’s been a slow start to the season for Dallas, which is dead last in the NBA in offensive rating, and it has won just two of six games to date. Anthony Davis (calf) is also banged up, putting even more pressure on No. 1 overall pick Cooper Flagg to deliver for Dallas. 

After losing two games in a row to open the season, Houston has won three in a row and is starting to find a groove with Durant in the fold and Amen Thompson as the de-facto point guard on offense.

Will the streak continue on Monday night?

Let’s take a look at the odds, my favorite player prop and a prediction for this Western Conference battle. 

Mavericks vs. Rockets Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread

• Mavericks +12.5 (-105)
• Rockets -12.5 (-115)

Moneyline

• Mavericks: +500
• Rockets: -700

Total

• 225.5 (Over -105/Under -115)

Mavericks vs. Rockets How to Watch

• Date: Monday, Nov. 3
• Time: 8:00 p.m. EST
• Venue: Toyota Center
• How to Watch (TV): FanDuel Sports Network (Local)
• Mavericks record: 2-4
• Rockets record: 3-2

Mavericks vs. Rockets Injury Reports

Mavericks Injury Report

• Anthony Davis – out
• Dereck Lively II – out
• Kyrie Irving – out
• Dante Exum – out

Rockets Injury Report

• Isaiah Crawford – out
• Kevin Harris – out
• Fred VanVleet – out
• Dorian Finney-Smith – out
• Jabari Smith Jr. – questionable

Mavericks vs. Rockets Best NBA Prop Bets

Mavericks Best NBA Prop Bet

• PJ Washington OVER 6.5 Rebounds (-113)

Since both Davis and Lively are out of this game, the Mavericks are going to need a serious jolt on the glass against a Houston team that allows the second-fewest rebounds per game in the NBA this season.

Washington enters this matchup averaging 7.7 boards per game, as he's grabbed seven or more rebounds in four of his six matchups. He's only averaging 11.0 rebound chances per game, but that should naturally tick up with Davis and Lively off the floor.

Houston may make it tough on Washington to rack up a double-digit rebound game like he did when Davis went down against Indiana, but I still think seven rebounds is very much in play for the Mavs forward in this matchup.

Mavericks vs. Rockets Prediction and Pick

Dallas enters this game with the worst offensive rating in the NBA (104.2), and it’s averaging just 108.2 points per game, which is good for 29th in the league. 

Now, the Mavs are down multiple starters in Davis and Lively against an elite rebounding and defensive team in Houston. The Rockets had a top-10 defensive rating last season, and they are 12th in defensive rating and eighth in opponent points per game in the 2025-26 campaign.

I have a hard time trusting this Dallas offense, especially since the team has been trying to play Cooper Flagg at point guard in his first few NBA games. Flagg is going to run into some tough perimeter defenders in Amen Thompson, Tari Eason and more on Monday night.

Dallas has under 105.5 points in two games this season and has failed to score 110 points four of six games. I wouldn’t be shocked to see Houston hold the Mavs under 100 on Monday night. 

Pick: Mavs Team Total UNDER 105.5 (-102 at DraftKings)

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on  BetStamp here.

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