Tennessee vs. Kentucky Prediction, Odds and Key Players to Watch for College Football Week 9

Iain MacMillan | Oct 25, 2025

Tennessee is a road favorite against Kentucky in College Football Week 9 action. / Saul Young/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Tennessee has dropped games to Alabama and Georgia this season, but if the Volunteers can win out the rest of their schedule, they'll be able to make the case for an at-large bid in the college football playoff.

The next step in doing that would be winning as a road favorite against the Kentucky Wildcats, who are still seeking their first SEC win this season. Let's take a look at the odds and my best bet for this conference showdown.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Spread

• Tennessee -7.5 (-110)
• Kentucky +7.5 (-110)

Moneyline

• Tennessee -310
• Kentucky +245

Total

• OVER 53.5 (-118)
• UNDER 53.5 (-104)

Tennessee vs. Kentucky How to Watch

• Date: Saturday, Oct. 25
• Game Time: 7:45 pm ET
• Venue: Kroger Field
• How to Watch (TV): SEC Network
• Tennessee Record: 5-2 (2-2 in SEC)
• Kentucky Record: 2-4 (0-4 in SEC)

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Betting Trends

• Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last five games
• The OVER is 9-2 in Tennessee's last 11 games
• Tennessee is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games vs. Kentucky
• Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games
• Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last five games played in Kentucky
• Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games
• Kentucky has lost nine straight SEC games

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Key Player to Watch

• Joey Aguilar, QB - Tennessee Volunteers

Joey Aguilar has put together a solid senior season, completing 64.6% of passes for 1,948 yards, averaging 8.6 yards per throw. He has also thrown 15 touchdown passes for a quarterback rating of 153.6. He now gets to face a Kentucky team that ranks 115th in opponent dropback EPA. I expect a big performance from Aguilar.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Prediction and Pick

Instead of betting on a side in this game, I'm looking at the OVER in this SEC showdown. The Volunteers are all offense and no defense, ranking 12th in the country in offensive adjusted EPA per play and 118th in defensive adjusted EPA.

Kentucky has struggled offensively at times, but even the Wildcats should be able to move the ball down the field against the weak Volunteers' defense. On the flip side of things, Aguilar is expected to have a big day against the porous Wildcats' secondary.

Let's set back and root for points in this SEC showdown.

Pick: OVER 53.5 (-118) via FanDuel

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