Predicting Baylor's Final Six Games of the Regular Season

Baylor basketball has six games left to make an impression for the NCAA Tournament committee, and they'll have their work cut out for them. How will they fare? We take a stab at predicting the six games here.
Feb 10, 2026; Waco, Texas, USA;  Baylor Bears head coach Scott Drew calls a play during the first half against the BYU Cougars at Paul and Alejandra Foster Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: Chris Jones-Imagn Images
Feb 10, 2026; Waco, Texas, USA; Baylor Bears head coach Scott Drew calls a play during the first half against the BYU Cougars at Paul and Alejandra Foster Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: Chris Jones-Imagn Images | Chris Jones-Imagn Images

In this story:


We’ve reached the home stretch of the season, and the Baylor Bears are a desperate basketball team as we get to the end of February and the early portion of March.

We recently talked about the path for Baylor to get into the tournament, and it’s going to take their best stretch of the season.

There are just six games to go, and here is one man’s take about how the Bears will fare in the final stretch of the year.

@ Kansas State

Baylor has played poorly for most of the year, and therefore cannot take anyone lightly, but if there were ever a winnable game left on the schedule, this would be one.

Kansas State is tied for the worst record in conference play at 1-11, and recently fired their Head Coach. In return, their coach is potentially going to pursue litigation against the school for wrongful termination.

It’s hard to imagine the Wildcats will be overly focused on getting a win with all the distractions surrounding the program.

Prediction: Win

Vs Arizona State

Arizona State is a potential big game for the Bears, as it’s the first true challenge coming out of what should be a win against Kansas State.

It’s also a return to their home floor for a big game. Baylor has been able to put together some big wins in Waco this season, even if they struggled recently against BYU.

This feels like a game where the role players like Obi Agbim and Michael Rataj will play well enough to get them back in the win column, setting up a showdown against Arizona, for another chance at a big boost for their season.

Prediction: Win

Vs Arizona

Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. The Bears have been in this position a bunch this season. They put together a two-game winning streak before getting blown out by the Kansas Jayhawks in January.

Arizona Wildcats guard Brayden Burries (5) makes a three-point basket.
Aryanna Frank-Imagn Images

They put together another two-game winning streak before falling behind significantly against Iowa State before rallying late for a three-point loss.

Baylor simply hasn’t proven enough to have confidence in them being able to score a big win against a premier team this season.

Prediction: Loss

@ UCF

If the Bears are going to make the NCAA Tournament, they’re going to need a big win against a program like Arizona or Houston, while also stacking wins against the other teams on their schedule. UCF is far from a layup this season as they’re in the middle of the pack in the Big 12 with a 6-6 record. Average has been better than what Baylor has put on the floor this year, and this game will be played on the road.

After a deflating loss against Arizona, this feels like a game that Baylor could still be reeling from their previous contest.

Prediction: Loss

@ Houston

Again, fool me once… You know the rest from there. Houston has been dominant again this season after last year’s appearance in the national championship game.

Baylor Bears guard Tounde Yessoufou (24) and Houston Cougars center Chris Cenac Jr.
Chris Jones-Imagn Images

Baylor has given no reason to believe they can knock off a team like that on the road.

Prediction: Loss

Vs Utah

Houston is a tough team to beat. Utah has not been that so far this season. Those are the types of games Baylor has won this season. This should be a good final performance in Waco for stars like Cameron Carr and Tounde Yessoufou before they likely head to the NBA.

Prediction: Win

More from Baylor on SI


Published
Jacob Westendorf
JACOB WESTENDORF

Jacob Westendorf is a contributing writer for Baylor Bears on SI. He is also a writer covering the Green Bay Packers for Packers on SI. Westendorf graduated from University of Wisconsin-Green Bay where he earned a degree in communication with an emphasis in journalism and mass media. He worked in newspapers in Green Bay and Rockford, Illinois. He also interned at Packer Report for Bill Huber while earning his degree. In 2018, he became a staff writer for PackerReport.com, and a regular contributor on Packer Report's "Pack A Day Podcast." In 2020, he founded the media company Game On Wisconsin. In 2023, he rejoined Packer Central, which is part of Sports Illustrated Media Group.