Final Bowl Projections: Badgers bust BCS, slight hope for NIU

In the end, Wisconsin ended up being this year's BCS crasher. The 8-5 Badgers will be making their third consecutive trip to Pasadena after destroying Nebraska
Final Bowl Projections: Badgers bust BCS, slight hope for NIU
Final Bowl Projections: Badgers bust BCS, slight hope for NIU /

montee-ball-p1.jpg

In the end, Wisconsin ended up being this year's BCS crasher. The 8-5 Badgers will be making their third consecutive trip to Pasadena after destroying Nebraska in Saturday's Big Ten title game, bringing the worst winning percentage of any Rose Bowl participant since 1928.

The rest of my projected BCS lineup remains the same. However, there is still the slight possibility that 12-1 Northern Illinois will move into the final top 16. If that happens, the Huskies would steal away Oklahoma's at-large berth and head to the Orange Bowl (Louisville would move to the Sugar Bowl).

Wisconsin's win shakes up the Big Ten's expected Florida bowl lineup. The Capital One Bowl had coveted Michigan, but neither that game nor the Outback Bowl can take the eight-win Wolverines over the 10-win Huskers. If the Capital One Bowl opts for 9-3 Northwestern to face 10-2 Texas A&M, Nebraska will fall to the Outback. That would likely send South Carolina plummeting to the Gator, because the Gamecocks faced the Huskers last year, and the Chick-fil-A Bowl is obligated to select South Carolina's rival, Clemson, from the ACC.

The lower half of the Big 12 pecking order is a bit muddy. I have the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl taking TCU, followed by the Holiday Bowl taking West Virginia, but some think the Mountaineers will fall to the Pinstripe Bowl. If that does happen, look for the New York bowl to take Pittsburgh from the Big East, reuniting rivals and sparing the 6-6 Panthers a third straight trip to Birmingham.

Other mysteries heading into Sunday:

• Will the Sun Bowl figure out a way to get out of taking 6-7 Georgia Tech for a second straight year? Contractually, the ACC title game loser can't fall below El Paso, but there have been conflicting reports as to whether the Sun Bowl can circumvent that.

• Where will the various MAC teams wind up? The Little Caesars Bowl has first choice but may pass on NIU for Kent State. The rest is a guess.

• Where the heck is Louisiana Tech going? The school reportedly turned down an offer from the in-state Independence Bowl. It must have something better lined up. The Liberty is a possibility.

• Will 7-5 Western Kentucky get snubbed for a second straight year? It's entirely possible. Pitt knocked the Hilltoppers out of my lineup Saturday.

As always, remember:

• After the No. 1 and 2 teams are slotted and replaced, the BCS at-large selection order this year is 1) Fiesta, 2) Sugar and 3) Orange. The highest-ranked champion from a non-automatic qualifier is guaranteed a BCS berth if it finishes in the top 12 or in the top 16 and ahead of an AQ-conference champion.

• Most bowls are not obligated -- I repeat, NOT OBLIGATED -- to choose in exact order of conference standings. For instance, "Big 12 No. 3" means "third selection of Big 12 teams," not "the Big 12's third-place team." Bowls often pick a team with an inferior record due to geography, anticipated fan travel, the need to avoid a regular-season rematch, or just plain politics.

Teams in bold have accepted a bid. * -- Replacement team for a conference without an eligible team.


Published
Stewart Mandel
STEWART MANDEL

Senior Writer, Sports Illustrated Stewart Mandel first caught the college football bug as a sophomore at Northwestern University in 1995. "The thrill of that '95 Rose Bowl season energized the entire campus, and I quickly became aware of how the national media covered that story," he says. "I knew right then that I wanted to be one of those people, covering those types of stories."  Mandel joined SI.com (formerly CNNSI.com) in 1999. A senior writer for the website, his coverage areas include the national college football beat and college basketball. He also contributes features to Sports Illustrated. "College football is my favorite sport to cover," says Mandel. "The stakes are so high week in and week out, and the level of emotion it elicits from both the fans and the participants is unrivaled." Mandel's most popular features on SI.com include his College Football Mailbag and College Football Overtime. He has covered 14 BCS national championship games and eight Final Fours. Mandel's first book, Bowls, Polls and Tattered Souls: Tackling the Chaos and Controversy That Reign Over College Football, was published in 2007. In 2008 he took first place (enterprise category) and second place (game story) in the Football Writers Association of America's annual writing contest. He also placed first in the 2005 contest (columns). Mandel says covering George Mason's run to the Final Four was the most enjoyable story of his SI tenure.  "It was thrilling to be courtside for the historic Elite Eight upset of UConn," Mandel says.  "Being inside the locker room and around the team during that time allowed me to get to know the coaches and players behind that captivating story." Before SI.com Mandel worked at ESPN the Magazine, ABC Sports Online and The Cincinnati Enquirer. He graduated from Northwestern University in 1998 with a B.S. in journalism. A Cincinnati native, Mandel and his wife, Emily, live in Santa Clara, Calif.