2025 Fantasy Baseball: Alejandro Kirk Profile, Preview, Predictions
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With minimal power over the past two seasons and turtle foot speed for a major league player, many fantasy drafters will skip over Alejandro Kirk's profile in 2025. He brings a winning approach and some clutching ability with runners on base.
Alejandro Kirk's first home run since April 28th.
— Keegan Matheson (@KeeganMatheson) June 11, 2024
We haven't seen much pop from him, but this one was loud. #BlueJays pic.twitter.com/yqAC45DzCi
C – Alejandro Kirk, TOR (ADP – 270)
Kirk hit his way into the Blue Jays lineup in 2022 while continuing to have a plus approach (strikeout rate – 10.7 and walk rate – 11.7). He hit well with runners on base (RBI – 17). Despite a reasonable production in home runs (14), his average hit rate (1.455) came in below his minor league average (1.583).
In 2023, Kirk didn’t find his power stroke all season, and that trend continued again last season. His contact batting average (.257) regressed even further, along with his average hit rate (1.419). He had one home run or fewer in five of his six months while never scoring more than seven runs in any month. Kirk played well with runners on base (RBI rate – 18.0).
His swing path improved based on his lower groundball rate (45.3 – 50.2 in 2023) and better launch angle (10.8%). Timing was an issue for Kirk at the plate, highlighted by a spike in his infield fly-ball rate (17.3% - 8.1% in 2023). His exit velocity (89.4 mph) was better than in 2023 (87.6) but below his power success in 2022 (90.5). Kirk’s HR/FB rate (5.1) has declined each year with the Blue Jays. He remains challenging to strike out (13.2%) despite being at a four-year high.
Fantasy Outlook: With Danny Jansen no longer on the roster, Kirk has a cleaner path to more playing time. He appeared to want to hit more home runs last year, but his rhythm on drivable balls was off. With 450 at-bats, double-digit home runs are a reasonable outcome if Kirk does a better job squaring up balls (187 hard hits in 2022 – 121 last season). I view him as a neutral player in batting average. I expect a .250/45/10/55 season, which works for a drafter looking for playable stats at the C2 position.
RANKINGS
Top 5 Catchers | Catchers 6-10 | Catchers 11-15
Top 5 First Basemen | First Basemen 6-10 | First Basemen 11-15
Top 5 Second Basemen | Second Basemen 6-10 | Second Basemen 11-15
Top 5 Shortstops | Shortstops 6-10 | Shortstops 11-15
Top 5 Third Basemen | Third Basemen 6-10 | Third Basemen 11-15
With 20+ years of experience in the high-stakes fantasy market, I aim to research and compete at the highest level in baseball and football each season. I've contributed as a writer/analyst for Sports Draft Daily, ScoutPro, Scout Fantasy, Fulltime Fantasy, FFToolbox, and Sports Illustrated Fantasy. I'm honored to be in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship Hall of Fame. My drafting philosophy is risk-averse yet open to betting on potential game-changers. I approach player selection with a neutral perspective, acknowledging that fantasy sports are inherently unpredictable due to injuries, performance dips, and managerial decisions. My work focuses on these main areas: - Season-long fantasy baseball and football - BestBall Baseball and Football Events - Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings, FanDuel, and Underdog - Long Shot Player Prop Parlays for NFL I participate in various leagues and contests, including NFBC, NFFC, RTSports, FFPC, DraftKings, Underdog Fantasy, FanDuel, and FFWC, with the goal of leveraging my extensive experience and research for success in each game format. A fantasy follower can expect in-depth profiles of NFL and MLB players, along with season-long and weekly projections for each fantasy football season. In addition, I have many strategy articles to help develop fantasy players' learning curves.
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