2025 Fantasy Baseball: Nathan Eovaldi Profile, Preview, Predictions
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Rarely does Nathan Eovaldi give the fantasy market an entire season of starts. When on the mound, he does pitch well while having a discount in his draft value priced into his ADP.
Nathan Eovaldi's 7th and 8th Ks. pic.twitter.com/v263DLNQQl
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 25, 2024
SP – Nathan Eovaldi, TEX (ADP – 199.7)
Over the past five seasons, Eovaldi posted an ERA under 4.00 (3.72, 3.75, 3.87, 3.63, and 3.80 each year, giving him winning fantasy value in this area for his price point over this span. His WHIP improved in 2023 (1.139) and 2024 (1.107), but he missed about 22 starts over the past three years.
Other than one bad game (five runs, 10 baserunners, and two home runs over six innings with three strikeouts), Eovaldi pitched well over his first seven starts (2.61 ERA, 1.161 WHIP, and 44 strikeouts over 41.1 innings) in 2024. After missing about a month beginning in early May (groin issue), his arm regressed over his following 16 starts (4.32 ERA and 15 home runs over 91.2 innings with 84 strikeouts) despite success in WHIP (1.075). He had a disaster showing on 9/17, leading to seven runs, 13 baserunners, and a home run over 4.2 innings. Eovaldi posted a 3.82 ERA and 1.142 WHIP over his final 37.2 innings with 38 strikeouts.
His groundball rate (48.3) promotes weaker contact, but he still allowed 1.2 home runs per nine innings last season. Eovaldi still has life in his four-seamer (95.6 mph – .210 BAA) while relying heavily on his split-finger fastball (.198 BAA), followed by a fading cutter (.315 BAA) and winning curveball (.214 BAA).
Fantasy Outlook: Eovaldi offers plus command with a reasonable floor in strikeouts. He doesn’t check the sexy fantasy tag, but when in the mound, his stuff plays well more often than it fails. The Texas have him tied up for another three seasons for $75 million. On the downside, Eovaldi pitched more than 170.0 innings twice (2021 – 182.1 and 2024 – 170.2) since 2014.
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With 20+ years of experience in the high-stakes fantasy market, I aim to research and compete at the highest level in baseball and football each season. I've contributed as a writer/analyst for Sports Draft Daily, ScoutPro, Scout Fantasy, Fulltime Fantasy, FFToolbox, and Sports Illustrated Fantasy. I'm honored to be in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship Hall of Fame. My drafting philosophy is risk-averse yet open to betting on potential game-changers. I approach player selection with a neutral perspective, acknowledging that fantasy sports are inherently unpredictable due to injuries, performance dips, and managerial decisions. My work focuses on these main areas: - Season-long fantasy baseball and football - BestBall Baseball and Football Events - Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings, FanDuel, and Underdog - Long Shot Player Prop Parlays for NFL I participate in various leagues and contests, including NFBC, NFFC, RTSports, FFPC, DraftKings, Underdog Fantasy, FanDuel, and FFWC, with the goal of leveraging my extensive experience and research for success in each game format. A fantasy follower can expect in-depth profiles of NFL and MLB players, along with season-long and weekly projections for each fantasy football season. In addition, I have many strategy articles to help develop fantasy players' learning curves.
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