Ranking NFL Offenses: Jacksonville Jaguars No. 25

The Jaguars’ fantasy outlook for 2025 hinges on Trevor Lawrence's bounce-back potential, a revamped receiver corps led by Brian Thomas and Travis Hunter, and how Jacksonville navigates a crowded, uncertain backfield.
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) warms up before an NFL football matchup Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla.
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) warms up before an NFL football matchup Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla. | Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

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Preliminary NFL rankings have a naturally built-in flaw until the researcher/fantasy market can absorb the changes in team structure after the NFL draft. This viewpoint stands out when writing about Indianapolis and Jacksonville back-to-back. The Colts have a better starting running back and tight end, and their nucleus at wide receiver may deliver more stats. On the downside, Trevor Lawrence has a higher starting floor at quarterback. Travis Hunter at wide receiver screams excitement, but one can only speculate on his opportunity and realistic value to the Jacksonville Jaguars and the fantasy market.

Jacksonville Starting Lineup

QB Trevor Lawrence

RB1 Travis Etienne

RB2 Bhayshul Tuten

WR1 Brian Thomas

WR2 Travis Hunter

WR3 Gabe Davis

TE Brenton Strange

WR4 Dyani Brown

25. Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Outlook

After missing seven games last season with a left shoulder issue and posting a weaker completion rate (60.6), Trevor Lawrence has a 22-38 record for his career and more questions about whether he has the talent to lead Jacksonville to the postseason. Does adding Travis Hunter, paired with Brenton Strange at tight end, offset the loss of Christian Kirk and Evan Engram in the Jaguars’ passing attack? In his best season in 2022, Lawrence was the seventh-best quarterback in four-point passing touchdown leagues.

At age 26, Travis Etienne has much to prove in his contract season. The Jaguars added a running back to their team in three consecutive drafts, inviting a potential problem for his opportunity in 2025 if he doesn't get out of the box with success. Last season, he missed two games with a hamstring issue while seeing a drop of 136 touches from 2023 (325).

Over the past couple of seasons, Jacksonville favored the tight end position over their running backs in the passing game, highlighted by Evan Engram’s success in 2023 (114/963/4) and their combined tight end usage in 2024 (102/857/3 on 138 targets).

The Jaguars gave the ball to Tank Bigsby 175 times last year, and he responded with a team-high seven rushing touchdowns and 175 touches while averaging 4.6 yards per carry. When adding Bhayshul Tuten to the mix (drafted by this year's coach), Etienne could be easily phased out at some point in the year. My mental picture has Bigsby as an early down runner while Tuten is the Jaguars' change of pace back with value on passing down. I expect these three players to have a lot of changes in their ADPs as the summer moves on.

Brian Thomas stood out as a fantasy breakout player last summer. Jacksonville didn’t give him their lion's share of wide receiver targets until their final six games (4/87/1, 8/86, 10/105/2, 9/132/1, 7/109/1, and 7/103). Over this span, he had double-digit targets in each matchup. Thomas made big plays (14.7 yards per catch) while gaining 20 yards or more on 18 plays and reaching the 40-yard mark seven times. He finished as the fourth-highest scoring wide receiver (284.00) in PPR leagues. The fantasy market should expect great things from him again this year.

Jacksonville gave away the farm to acquire Travis Hunter, which tells me that he will be very active offensively, creating a buying opportunity in the early draft season due to him being mispriced. He brings big play and scoring ability while having the skill set to shine all over the field.

I’m torn on the outlook for Brenton Strange. Is he a fantasy value at tight end or an overachiever in 2024? Jacksonville invested a second-round pick on him in 2023, and Strange had a couple of nice games (5/59 and 11/73) last season.

The key to this offense starts with the role of Travis Hunter, followed by how the Jaguars decide to use their running back rotation. In addition, Trevor Lawrence must play at a higher level to take advantage of his star tandem at wide receiver.

More Fantasy Football News:

Ranking NFL Offenses: New Orleans Saints Ranked Dead Last At No. 32

Ranking NFL Offenses: Cleveland Browns No. 31

Ranking NFL Offenses: New York Giants No. 30

Ranking NFL Offenses: Carolina Panthers No. 29

Ranking NFL Offenses: Tennessee Titans No. 28

Ranking NFL Offenses: New York Jets No. 27

Ranking NFL Offenses: Indianapolis Colts No. 26

Ranking NFL Offenses: New England Patriots No. 24

Ranking NFL Offenses: Cincinnati Bengals No. 6

Ranking NFL Offenses: Baltimore Ravens No. 4


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Shawn Childs
SHAWN CHILDS

With 20+ years of experience in the high-stakes fantasy market, I aim to research and compete at the highest level in baseball and football each season. I've contributed as a writer/analyst for Sports Draft Daily, ScoutPro, Scout Fantasy, Fulltime Fantasy, FFToolbox, and Sports Illustrated Fantasy. I'm honored to be in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship Hall of Fame. My drafting philosophy is risk-averse yet open to betting on potential game-changers. I approach player selection with a neutral perspective, acknowledging that fantasy sports are inherently unpredictable due to injuries, performance dips, and managerial decisions. My work focuses on these main areas: - Season-long fantasy baseball and football - BestBall Baseball and Football Events - Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings, FanDuel, and Underdog - Long Shot Player Prop Parlays for NFL I participate in various leagues and contests, including NFBC, NFFC, RTSports, FFPC, DraftKings, Underdog Fantasy, FanDuel, and FFWC, with the goal of leveraging my extensive experience and research for success in each game format. A fantasy follower can expect in-depth profiles of NFL and MLB players, along with season-long and weekly projections for each fantasy football season. In addition, I have many strategy articles to help develop fantasy players' learning curves.

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