2025 PGA Championship Hole in One Odds and History at Quail Hollow

One of the most interesting and electric bets you can place on a golf tournament is whether or not a hole in one will be recorded. A major championship only increases the excitement as an ace can completely shift the leaderboard, and the par-3s are typically more difficult.

Let’s take a look at the history of holes in one at the PGA Championship and Quail Hollow throughout the years, as well as the odds of one occurring this week.

PGA Championship hole in one odds

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Yes +140
No -190

PGA Championship hole in one history

There have been 49 total holes in one at the PGA Championship, with Sebastian Soderberg being the most recent last season.

Year	Golfer	Course
2024	Sebastian Soderberg	Valhalla
2023	Michael Block	Oak Hill
2020	Byeong Hun An	TPC Harding Park
2019	Lucas Bjerregaard	Bethpage Black
2018	Matt Wallace	Bellerive
2017	Joost Luiten	Quail Hollow
2016	Tim Clark	Oak Hill
2010	Tom Lehman	Whistling Straits
2008	Freddie Jacobson	Oakland Hills
2006	Olin Brown	Medinah
2005	Charles Howell III	Baltusrol
2004	Robert Gamez	Whistling Straits
2004	Hale Irwin	Whistling Straits
2003	Robert Allenby	Oak Hill
2001	David Toms	Atlanta Athletic Club
2001	Scott Hoch	Atlanta Athletic Club
2001	Nick Faldo	Atlanta Athletic Club
1999	Mark Brooks	Medinah
1997	Ernie Els	Winged Foot
1996	Vijay Singh	Valhalla
1996	Steve Lowry	Valhalla
1996	George Bowman	Valhalla
1995	Lee Janzen	Riviera
1995	Fuzzy Zoeller	Riviera
1989	Lanny Wadkins	Kemper Lakes
1989	Scott Hoch	Kemper Lakes
1989	Mark O'Meara	Kemper Lakes
1989	Davis Love III	Kemper Lakes
1988	Raymond Floyd	Oak Tree
1988	David Edwards	Oak Tree
1988	Paul Azinger	Oak Tree
1988	Gene Sauers	Oak Tree
1987	Bob Lohr	PGA National
1985	Donny Hammond	Cherry Hills
1983	Bobby Nichols	Riviera
1982	Peter Oosterhuis	Southern Hills
1982	Woody Blackburn	Southern Hills
1981	Bob Eastwood	Atlanta Athletic Club
1979	Frank Connor	Oakland Hills
1979	Ron Streck	Oakland Hills
1978	Gil Morgan	Oakmont
1977	Bob Zender	Pebble Beach
1977	Tom Nieporte	Pebble Beach
1976	Peter Ooosterhuis	Congressional
1975	Hale Irwin	Firestone
1969	Jim Turnesa	NCR
1968	Larry Ziegler	Pecan Valley
1965	George Knudson	Laurel Valley
1963	Dick Hart	Dallas

You’ll notice there was an ace recorded at this event the only other time it was hosted at Quail Hollow: Joost Luiten on the par-3 4th hole in 2007.

Since holes in one at courses that aren’t Quail Hollow are virtually useless for us bettors this week, let’s take a look at the history of aces at Quail Hollow specifically at both PGA Championships and the event formerly known as the Wells Fargo Championship.

Quail Hollow hole in one history

Year	Golfer	Event	Hole
2023	Mark Hubbard	Wells Fargo Championship	17
2017	Joost Luiten	PGA Championship	4
2016	William McGirt	Wells Fargo Championship	2
2016	Carlos Ortiz	Wells Fargo Championship	17
2015	Colt Knost	Wells Fargo Championship	17
2008	Jay Williamson	Wells Fargo Championship	6

PGA Championship hole in one prediction

Based on the history of aces at Quail Hollow, I think the side to bet on is “no hole in one.” Across 20 total tournaments hosted at the course dating to 2003, we have seen just six holes in one. That’s an average of 0.3 holes in one per tournament. If you expand that thinking, there’s approximately a 30% chance of one occurring this week, or a 70% chance of one not occurring.

An implied probability of 70% translates to -233 in American odds. Given the odds given by FanDuel of a hole in one not happening being set at -190, there's some expected value in betting on the “no” side this week. If you shop around, you’ll find the “no” is set at even better odds of -175 at BetMGM.

It may not be the most exciting bet to cheer for, but it could prove to be profitable.

Pick: No hole in one (-175)

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