Liberty vs. Mystics Prediction, Odds and Best WNBA Prop Bets for Friday, May 30

Target Kiki Iriafen to go over her rebounds total on Friday night against the Liberty.
Target Kiki Iriafen to go over her rebounds total on Friday night against the Liberty. / Emily Faith Morgan-Imagn Images

The New York Liberty will play in the second half of a back-to-back on Friday night. After taking down the Golden State Valkyries on Thursday night, they'll head to the nation's capital to face the Mystics in a bid to keep their undefeated season alive.

The Mystics come into the game fresh off an 83-77 win against the Indiana Fever and now sit at 3-3 on the season.

Let's dive into the odds and my best bets for tonight's matchup.

Liberty vs. Mystics Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Spread

  • Liberty -8 (-114)
  • Mystics +8 (-108)

Moneyline

  • Liberty -400
  • Mystics +300

Total

  • 161.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Liberty vs. Mystics How to Watch

  • Date: Friday, May 30
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
  • Venue: CareFirst Arena
  • How to Watch (TV): ION
  • Liberty record: 5-0
  • Mystics record: 3-3

Liberty vs. Mystics Injury Reports

Liberty Injury Report

  • Nyara Sabally, C - Out
  • Jonquel Jones, C - Game Time Decision

Mystics Injury Report

  • Sika Kone, F - Game Time Decision
  • Georgia Amoore, G - Game Time Decision

Liberty vs. Mystics Best WNBA Prop Bet

This bet is an absolute no-brainer. Kiki Iriagen is third in the WNBA in rebounds per game, averaging 10.8. Tonight, she will face a Liberty team that has a weakness when it comes to rebounding. They're 12th in the league in rebounding rate, grabbing just 46.8% of boards. Considering Iriafen has reached 10+ rebounds in four of her six games, there's no reason why she can't record at least nine against one of the worst rebounding teams in the WNBA.

Liberty vs. Mystics Prediction and Pick

On their home court, I'm going to back the Washington Mystics to cover the spread. Asking them to win the game and hand the Liberty their first loss of the season may be a stretch, but there are some areas they can take advantage of to keep this game within the eight-point spread.

One of them, as I wrote above, is rebounding. The Liberty have a glaring weakness in that category, ranking second last in the WNBA in rebounding percentage, grabbing just 46.8% of rebounds, including only 22.0% of offensive boards. The lack of offensive rebounding keeps them from producing second-chance scoring opportunities, something that's pivotal when it comes to covering a big spread.

The Mystics have also done a solid job on their own side of the court this season, ranking fourth in defensive rating at 96.9%. If they can lock in on the boards and on defense, they can give the Liberty a run for their money.

Pick: Mystics +8 (-108)


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Iain MacMillan
IAIN MACMILLAN

Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.