Magic vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds and Key Players to Watch for Monday, Nov. 4

It’s been a rough stretch for the Orlando Magic with Paolo Banchero down with a torn oblique, and things won't get any easier on Monday on the road against the Oklahoma City Thunder.
This is the second night of a back-to-back for the Magic after they were blown out by 23 points by the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. Paolo has missed two games, and the Magic have lost by a combined 34 points.
Meanwhile, the Thunder are a perfect 6-0 on the season, and they’ll look to build on that as a double-digit favorite on Monday night.
Let’s dive into the odds, players to watch and my best bet for the Magic-Thunder matchup tonight.
Magic vs. Thunder Odds, Spread and Total
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Spread
- Magic +12.5 (-112)
- Thunder -12.5 (-108)
Moneyline
- Magic: +575
- Thunder: -850
Total
- 215.5 (Over -108/Under -112)
Magic vs. Thunder How to Watch
- Date: Monday, Nov. 4
- Time: 9:15 p.m. EST
- Venue: Paycom Center
- How to Watch (TV): Bally Sports Florida, Bally Sports Oklahoma
- Magic record: 3-4
- Thunder record: 6-0
Magic vs. Thunder Injury Reports
Magic Injury Report
- Paolo Banchero – out
- Goga Bitadze – questionable
- Wendell Carter Jr. – questionable
- Mac McClung – out
- Trevelin Queen – out
Thunder Injury Report
- Alex Ducas – out
- Adam Flagler – out
- Nikola Topic – out
- Isaiah Hartenstein – out
- Jaylin Williams – out
- Kenrich Williams – out
Magic vs. Thunder Key Players to Watch
Orlando Magic
Franz Wagner: With Banchero out, a ton has fallen on the shoulders of Franz Wagner to carry this offense. Over the last two games, Franz has scored just 30 points on 14-of-34 shooting, which clearly isn’t enough for an Orlando team desperate for offense.
Oklahoma City Thunder
Chet Holmgren: After a monster start to the season, Chet Holmgren has cooled off on offense in his last two games, shooting 4-for-12 from the field overall and scoring just 16 points. Still, Chet will be needed against a big Orlando front line since the Thunder are still without Isaiah Hartenstein and Jaylin Williams.
Magic vs. Thunder Prediction and Pick
I simply cannot back the Magic right now with Paolo out.
They scored just 85 points on Sunday in a blowout loss, and they’re just 4-10 all time now when Banchero is out of the lineup.
Meanwhile, the Thunder rank No. 1 in the league in defensive rating (95.1) by a wide margin. The next closest team to OKC is Golden State at 101.0, and the Thunder are the No. 2 team in the league in net rating as well.
Orlando is a lowly 2-5 against the spread so far this season, and even as a double-digit underdog, I can’t get behind it after watching its losses to Cleveland and Dallas.
Lay the points with the Thunder – especially since Orlando is playing a back-to-back.
Pick: Thunder -12.5 (-108)
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.

Peter is the associate managing editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, betting and more. He is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.
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