Super Bowl 59 Betting Trends: History Says Trust Patrick Mahomes and Chiefs to Cover

Jan 26, 2025; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) rushes the ball against the Buffalo Bills during the first half in the AFC Championship game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images
Jan 26, 2025; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) rushes the ball against the Buffalo Bills during the first half in the AFC Championship game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images / Denny Medley-Imagn Images
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Patrick Mahomes doesn't lose very often and is on the doorstep of leading the Kansas City Chiefs to the first ever 'Three-Peat' in NFL history.

With few losses on his ledger in his postseason career, Mahomes is 17-3 in his career in the playoffs, he has particualrly thrived in closely lined games. The Chiefs are quickly moving towards being a pick 'em in the Super Bowl, which is where the Kansas City signal caller bolsters a sterling record.

Despite the market moving towards Philadelphia, be advised that Mahomes hasn't lost in this type of setting before. It's also worth noting that the team was a 2.5-point underdog against the Eagles in the first meeting, which required a Mahomes-led comeback to beat Philadelphia in Super Bowl 57, 38-35.

With such a strong record it makes sense that the Chiefs have immense success when its a projected barnburner, and we may be in for a similar set up in Super Bowl LIX in New Orleans. 

For now, here are the updated betting odds that is essentially allowing you to pick the winner of the game at the same price. History says trust Mahomes.

Super Bowl 59 Betting Odds

Spread

  • Chiefs: -1.5 (-105)
  • Eagles: +1.5 (-115)

Moneyline

  • Chiefs: -116
  • Eagles: -102

Total: 48.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Reed Wallach
REED WALLACH

Reed is a Senior Editor at SI Betting. He grew up in New Jersey and graduated from the University of Wisconsin. His passion lies with the Brooklyn Nets, but is always hunting for an edge.