2025 Fantasy Baseball: Luke Raley Profile, Preview, Predictions

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On an at-bats basis, Luke Raley is a very productive player. Unfortunately, he's never had more than 405 at-bats in a season with the Mariners.
Home run robbery by Luke Raley ❌ pic.twitter.com/9cKdCqSt9w
— MLB (@MLB) May 29, 2024
OF – Luke Raley, SEA (ADP – 300.0)

Raley set career highs in almost every category in back-to-back seasons. He’s settled into a 20/10 player despite weakness in his playing time (761 combined at-bats over the past two seasons). In 2024, the Mariners gave him 74 at-bats against left-handed pitching, leading to a .189 batting average with eight runs, two home runs, four RBIs, and one steal. This opportunity was almost double from 2023 (.268/5/2/2 over 41 at-bats).
Last April, Raley delivered seven home runs with nine runs and 15 RBIs while posting weakness in batting average (.226). He had fewer than 70 at-bats each month. His best overall stats came in June (.349/19/3/10/2 over 66 at-bats). The Mariners gave him fewer at-bats (146) after the All-Star break (.219 over 11 runs, four home runs, 13 RBIs, and five stolen bases), making him a challenging player to time. Raley was a better player at home (.264/34//15/42/9 over 201 at-bats).
His strikeout rate (29.7) remains a weakness, but it was a career-best. He posted a new top with his HR/FB rate (22.7) while hitting fewer fly-balls (37.2%). Raley finished with a slide in his exit velocity (90.1 mph) and hard-hit rate (41.8). His walk rate (5.9) is trending in the wrong direction.
Fantasy Outlook: I view Raley as a short-term injury cover while being drafted primarily in deep formats. Possibly a manageable player – at home vs. right-handed pitching based on his play in 2024. He qualifies at 1B and OF, giving drafters flexibility by rostering him.
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With 20+ years of experience in the high-stakes fantasy market, I aim to research and compete at the highest level in baseball and football each season. I've contributed as a writer/analyst for Sports Draft Daily, ScoutPro, Scout Fantasy, Fulltime Fantasy, FFToolbox, and Sports Illustrated Fantasy. I'm honored to be in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship Hall of Fame. My drafting philosophy is risk-averse yet open to betting on potential game-changers. I approach player selection with a neutral perspective, acknowledging that fantasy sports are inherently unpredictable due to injuries, performance dips, and managerial decisions. My work focuses on these main areas: - Season-long fantasy baseball and football - BestBall Baseball and Football Events - Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings, FanDuel, and Underdog - Long Shot Player Prop Parlays for NFL I participate in various leagues and contests, including NFBC, NFFC, RTSports, FFPC, DraftKings, Underdog Fantasy, FanDuel, and FFWC, with the goal of leveraging my extensive experience and research for success in each game format. A fantasy follower can expect in-depth profiles of NFL and MLB players, along with season-long and weekly projections for each fantasy football season. In addition, I have many strategy articles to help develop fantasy players' learning curves.
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