Supercomputer Predicts Wrexham’s Final Championship League Position

Opta projects a slog for the Hollywood-owned Wrexham in the second tier next season.

Wrexham have enjoyed a meteoric rise under their Hollywood owners. / IMAGO/Colorsport

The meteoric rise of Wrexham has shown no signs of culmination, and the Welsh club are now preparing for their first dig at the second tier in over 40 years.

Three successive promotions mean Wrexham are competing in the EFL Championship for the very first time in 2025–26, with another hotly competitive campaign in the offing. While Wrexham’s Hollywood owners have previously discussed the loftiest of goals, 2025–26 may be a campaign for achieving stability.

Avoiding the drop has to be the primary objective in a division that relentlessly chews and spits out, with Opta’s supercomputer projecting a campaign unlike any Wrexham have endured since Ryan Reynolds and Rob McElhenney took the reins.

Predictions at this time of year are so often futile, given the hilarious unpredictability the Championship possesses. However, Opta tend to know a few things that we don’t, all while failing to succumb to bias. They’re all about the numbers.

Here’s how their supercomputer predicts the 2025–26 Championship table will end up.

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Supercomputer’s Predicted 2025–26 Championship Table

Pos.	Team	Average Points From 10,000 Simulations
1.	Sheffield United	80.7
2.	Leicester City	70.4
3.	Ipswich Town	70.4
4.	Coventry City	68.7
5.	Southampton	67.2
6.	West Brom	65.9
7.	Millwall	65.4
8.	Middlesbrough	65.4
9.	Bristol City	65.3
10.	Blackburn Rovers	63.4
11.	Swansea City	62.6
12.	Norwich City	62.0
13.	Birmingham City	61.5
14.	Sheffield Wednesday	61.3
15.	Portsmouth	60.7
16.	QPR	59.7
17.	Hull City	59.6
18.	Derby County	58.6
19.	Preston North End	57.8
20.	Stoke City	57.6
21.	Wrexham	57.4
22.	Charlton	57.2
23.	Watford	56.9
24.	Oxford United	56.3

Opta think Wrexham are going to be deep in the relegation dogfight but will just about miss the drop, finishing 21st.

The Welsh club have once again been busy in the transfer market, signing Lewis O’Brien and Conor Coady from Nottingham Forest and Leicester, respectively, but perhaps haven’t done enough to steer comfortably clear of the relegation zone. Opta currently rates the likelihood of Wrexham getting relegated at 20.2%, with newly promoted Charlton, Watford and Oxford United the projected bottom three.

Tom Brady’s Birmingham bunch enjoyed a record-breaking League One campaign last time out, and Opta is backing the Blues as more likely to stage a potential playoff push in the second tier than Wrexham. The computer is predicting a 13th-place finish for Birmingham and gives them around a 25% chance of finishing in the top seven.

It’s worth noting that the supercomputer hasn’t yet been able to take into account the turmoil that’s been brewing at Sheffield Wednesday this summer, with the Owls’ projected 14th-place finish appearing optimistic.

At the top of the table, Sheffield United are the overwhelming favourites to win the league despite their change of manager, with Rubén Sellés replacing Chris Wilder.

Last season’s beaten playoff finalists finished top in 26.5% of the 10,000 simulations run by Opta’s computer. The Blades have over a 40% chance of achieving automatic promotion, with Leicester City and Ipswich Town poised to battle it out for second place. The third relegated outfit, Southampton, are projected to finish fifth, with Ipswich, Coventry City and Millwall joining them in the playoffs.

The Saints endured a historically bad Premier League season last time out, but should look rejuvenated in the Championship with Will Still at the helm. Frank Lampard’s Coventry were ever so close to making the playoffs off the back of the Chelsea legend’s appointment, and Opta is backing the Sky Blues to build on the momentum gained during the second half of last season.

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