It's possible my initial take on
So Bell obviously knows his late-night baseball shows, but he wasn't a highly touted prospect. A three-sport athlete in high school, the Santiago Canyon College standout was named freshman All-America in 1997 before being selected by the Rays in the 69th round of the 1997 amateur draft.
He didn't sign, but caught on with the Mets as an undrafted free agent the following year. By 2006 -- when he was traded to the Padres -- he was a respectable middle reliever with a plus fastball, decent changeup and a solid curve/slider combo. In 2007, he posted great numbers, including a 6-4 record in 81 appearances, 93.2 IP, 2.02 ERA, 2 SVs, 102 Ks, and just 30 BBs. He held opposing batters to a .185 batting average and only allowed 0.29 HR/9. His Batting Average on Balls in Play that season was extraordinarily low (.260), but he was still developing as a pitcher and learning to rely less on his breaking stuff. Bell also stranded a stunning 80.9 percent of runners on base in 2007 (for relievers, an LOB% of about 70 percent is the benchmark). While that figure regressed to 73.3 percent in 2008, and his ERA increased to 3.58, Bell still posted a 1.21 WHIP.
If Bell keeps locating his darting fastball and inducing a GB/FB rate of around 2.0, he could be a Top 10 closer in 2009. If he struggles with his command and relies too heavily on his pedestrian breaking balls, he'll finish with a save rate around 75 percent and an ERA closer to 4.00 than 3.00. I guess what I'm saying is this: If there's another owner loaded with closers who's dangling Bell in trade offers because he's trying to "sell high" after the Padres' hot start, do what you can to get the deal done.