Tipping Pitches: Advice for a strong September
It's late summer. Baseball has been going for nearly six months. Fantasy football is in full swing, sucking your attention, and the college football season is right around the corner.
It's just plain hard to focus on Fantasy Baseball at this time of the year, yet that's exactly what you need to be doing in order to win your league. One of the simplest ways to avoid getting fooled by full-season statistics and catch on to recent trends is looking at stat splits, over the past 30 days for example.
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Here are some other interesting trends over the past 30 days in Fantasy pitching:
Now with a stable spot in the rotation, Morrow has grown into his talent in 2010.
Hamels is throwing his changeup a career-low 22.0 percent of the time this season, while he's using his new cutter 14.6 percent of the time. His fastball is also averaging 92.0 mph, the highest of his career (he hasn't topped 90.4 since 2006).
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Wilson meanwhile refuses to tire despite pitching 171.2 innings this season. His previous career high was 73.2 out of the bullpen last season. While just 7.34 for the season, his K/9 is 9.39 in the past 30 days - he's just getting better.
Santana has 47 strikeouts in his past 46.1 innings, but his season K/9 is still a middling 6.54. If anything, that shows how much he struggled to start the season. His 4.36 xFIP is the worst of his career. Santana isn't an ace anymore, but he's been strong as 2010 has progressed. Keep him in mind in 2011 as a guy who was better in the second half than his overall numbers showed.
• Jackson's peripherals aren't that great, but he's now struck out 10 or more batters in three straight games. His K/9 is 12.17 over that span and 11.05 in the past 30 days.
Jackson's 3.86 xFIP is the best of his career and more than half a run better than he produced in his breakout 2009. His biggest problem has been walks. He holds a 3.58 BB/9 this season, though that rate has also been much better in the past 30 days, at 1.96.
At 27, Jackson is still too streaky to invest in heavily next season. He is a guy to acquire after a couple of solid starts and ride the streak.
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